Week One Video!
posted by Jason M. at 2:07 PM
0 comments
Thursday, September 10, 2009
Tuesday, August 25, 2009
Fact OR Fiction with Mike and J
McLeish and I contributed to the FIRST POST OF THE SEASON. A pre-Draft edition of FACT OR FICTION. See you all tonight!!
1. Drew Brees will have a better season then Tom Brady.
MIKE: FICTION: I was hesitant to initially write fiction; however, it's clearly evident that a smart man should not bet against Tom Brady. The only intelligent argument against Brady is that he may sit out a week towards the end of the season, but a healthy Brady is the best qb in all of fantasy football. Moss and Welker and great receivers and the Patriots should be passing an extensive amount, especially in the beginning of games. Although Brees put up great numbers last year and has a healthy Colston, he is just not better than Tom Brady.
J: FACT: When drafting early in fantasy football you like to have picks that you know will produce, some call them safe picks. I call them smart picks. My smart pick this year at the end of the first/beginning of the second (according to ADP) is Drew Brees. No Quarterback in the history of football has thrown for at least 4,400 yards and at least 26 TDs in three straight seasons, except Mr. Brees. In 40 of his 48 games that he has played in his career he’s thrown for at least 200 yards. Our league offers a performance bonus for eclipsing the 200/300/400 mark...that’s where Brees earns his keep. Mark it down...Brees over Brady.
Score: 0 for 1.
2. RB/RB Strategy in Fantasy Drafts is Over.
MIKE: FACT: I wouldn't say that in all fantasy drafts, it's over, but I would say that in our league, it is indeed over. Considering the league scoring system has dramatically changed this year, I would say that WR's and QB's are just as valuable as a running back. Brady, Manning, and Brees should all go in the first two rounds along with Fitzgerald, Andrew Johnson, and Randy Moss. These players will impact your team much more, especially considering you can hold off and get similar numbers from a Brandon Jacobs or a Frank Gore in the 4th or 5th round when compared to a few of the 1st and second round round RB's.
J: FACT: I think the days of going Running Back/Running Back are officially over. Too many teams now employee the RBBC (Running Back By Committee) approach. I could poke numerous holes in any of the top ten or so Running Backs, and the same goes with Wideouts. As I said earlier in the first few rounds of a draft you should look for stable, predictable players. I mean there is a reason Peyton Manning goes higher then his little brother. I know Manning will fetch over 4,000 yards and over 30 TDs. You need to know that your first round pick will deliver like a first round pick, running backs simply cannot promise that anymore. The best draft strategy is “talent first”. Draft the best player available and sort it all out later.
Score: 1 for 2
3. Brett Favre helps the value of Adrian Peterson.
MIKE: FICTION: Going from Tavaris Jackson to Brett Favre makes the Vikings a much better team. Brett Favre will take his usual chances downfield to Bernard Berrien, thus creating less opportunities for Adrian Peterson. I will concede the fact that the Vikings will move down the field better because of Favre, but Favre's comfort in his Wrangler Jeans will not save him from having 3 interception games. Therefore, Adrian Peterson will take a hit, although will still put up great numbers.
J: FICTION: People will point to the Thomas Jones campaign of last year and state that AP will have a similar year, but that is just a cold hard untruth. Adrian has his own problems (fumbles, injury problems and Chester Taylor) the last thing he needs is the Anti-Fountain of Youth Brett Favre behind center. Favre is selfish player and will attempt to play gun slinger for another year. He’ll throw picks left and right, and pull off some amazing plays to boot. However one thing Favre hasn’t really done ever in his career is hand the ball off. I think Favre takes snaps AWAY from Peterson, thus overall hurting his fantasy value a bit.
Score: 2 for 3.
4. Jay Cutler helps the value of Matt Forte.
MIKE: FACT: Judging from training camp notes and preseason games, it is obvious that Forte will get his carries as part of the Bears offensive game plan. In a struggling offense last year, the Bears will finally have a QB that can drive the ball downfield, causing Forte to get more red-zone touches. Furthermore, the Bears have indicated that Forte will also get the ball through the air, with the possibility of him getting more receptions than his RB league leading 63 in 2008.
J: FACT: Although I don’t see him leading the RB’s in receptions again this year Cutler when on is one of the best QB’s in the league. He will have defenses on their heels for the majority of the season. My concern comes in the fact that the Bears still have no main threat in the receiving corps. Therefore defenses could stack the box against Forte. Forte (our of Tulane) will still produce in an upper tier level. He shows quickness and vision, two things that every elite back needs. He’ll score double digit TD’s and go over or about 1500 yards.
Score: 3 for 4.
5. Brandon Marshall is undraftable?
MIKE: FICTION: I cannot believe that this is even a question, to be honest. I think every manager would not hesitate to draft Marshall in the late rounds if given the opportunity. The late rounds is where a number of teams will take chances and hope that Marshall backs off the trade talk or is not sidelined for a lingering hip injury. Marshall has showed success in the past and an intelligent person can not consider him undraftable, if it gets to a later round. The real question here is how early will he go. To be concise, any manager that considers Brandon Marshall undraftable probably should not be alive.
J: FICTION: I am so low I’m underground on Marshall this year. As a matter of fact Forgetting Brandon Marshall should be my draft strategy. However if you can get him low in a draft in the double digits rounds he could be a steal. The facts are that he has a hip issue, he doesn’t know the playbook and he wants a trade. Well I doubt he sits out the entire year. I think he plays, and how many plays do you need to know...his playbooks is this: run, grab the ball, score. He’s TO-lite really but he could still help you. If you draft him any higher then the 10-12th round you are a stone cold fool. Let’s face it people, they left him in Denver when they went to their preseason game, that’s not a ringing endorsement.
Score: 4 for 5.
6. LT is a TOP FIVE pick
J: FICTION: I do not think LT will go in the top five in almost any draft. That being said I think he will put up top teir running back numbers. It says a lot about a player when his “worst” season he still eclipsed 1,130 yards or so. That’s impressive. Obvisouly Sproles takes carries away from him but this year LT will be out to prove he is still the bulldozer we know he can be. However he does not go in the top five picks.
MIKE: FACT: I have LT right around the fifth spot. I know how some people would say that you shouldn't take a risk in the first round, but LT could be a player that wins you a championship. Although most people were pretty down on LT as of last year, his numbers were suprisingly strong, with 52 receptions and 11 rushing touchdowns. I honestly believe that this is the year where the Chargers offense becomes one of the best in the NFL, producing more TD's for LT than a few of the RB's drafted before him.
Score: 5 for 6.
7. Megatron is a Number Three WR
J: FACT: Without a doubt a no brainer. I have him as the second overall WR this year right after Andre Johnson. That’s right neither Fitzy or Moss is in my top two, Fitz falls at three. 78 receptions, 1,331 and 12 tds and that’s with NO ONE throwing him the ball. Seriously the Lions suck at QB. Stafford might not even see playing time till half way through the year. It doesn’t matter who throws it Megatron will catch it and he’ll do it with style. He’s a legit top tier wideout if only for the fact that the Lions consistently play from behind each and every year. Draft Johnson and be happy!
MIKE: FICTION: As much as I like Calvin Johnson, there is more to like in Randy Moss, Andre Johnson, and Larry Fitzgerald. With Brady throwing, Moss could put up his numbers from 2007. Johnson silently led the league in receptions and receiving yards last year. The main question here is Fitzgerald versus Calvin. I give the nod to Fitz because of his ability to catch the jump ball that Kurt Warner will continuously throw up this year. Furthermore, nobody knows how Stafford will work out for the Lions, making this a fiction.
Score: 5 for 7
8. Steve Slaton goes in the second round
J: FACT: I have Slaton right there as one of I think the top SIX-EIGHT running backs in the league this year. I believe Slaton came to my team via waivers last year and I was very glad he did. You always root for a local product...1,282 yards and 9 TDs as a rookie is an amazing line. Factor in a “healthy” Matt Schab and Slaton will reap the reward. Mix in 50 receptions (18 less then league leader Forte) and Slaton becomes Forte-lite, available a little later and I think you’re getting around the same numbers. Slaton should go early second round (but probably not to me)
MIKE: FACT: Slaton put up some ridiculous numbers for a rookie, and there is reason to believe that his numbers will only improve this year. In a PPR league, Slaton is "slated" to get a large number of receptions. Also, he will still add to his 9 TD's from last year and 1282 yards. Looks like Slaton should be a steal in the late second round as long as the rest of the league goes QB and WR happy. The only concern would be a sophomore struggle, but he is off to a good umm... slate in preseason and training camp.
Score: 6 for 8.
9. Is Aaron Rodgers the 4th Best QB four our Draft.
J: FACT: Finally removed from “that other guy’s” shadow Aaron Rodgers posted 28 TDs and 4,038 yards, those numbers aren’t exactly easy to come by. He also added 4 rushing TDs. So that’s 32 TDs...that’s pretty impressive. With TO finally out of Dallas I think Rodgers jumps Romo on any type of league, most certainly ours. Donald Driver, Greg Jennings are still around and are still very good. Also look for a healthy Ryan Grant to take some pressure off the passing game this time around leading to hopefully a few more TD throws for good old Aaron. I think he’s easily the fourth best, I don’t know if he’ll picked like that or not.
MIKE: FICTION: This debate basically hinges on the battle between Rodgers and Rivers. Brady, Manning, and Brees are all better than Rodgers, so the battle for the 4th best QB is down to two players. As previously mentioned, I believe that this is the year for the Chargers offense to once again dominate. Vincent Jackson and Antonio Gates will help Rivers, along with LT getting a number of receptions, and turning them into big gains. On the other hand, Greg Jennings is the main weapon for Rodgers. Donald Driver is another weapon for Rodgers, but is only an OK target. So, Rivers looks to me to be the next best QB, edging out Rodgers.
Score: 6 for 9.
10. Pierre Thomas used to be underrated, but now is liked by so many people for being underrated, that he is actually overrated
J: FACT: Nothing angers me more then when someone let’s the cat out of the bag about a sleeper that he doesn’t become a sleeper anymore. The beauty of the sleeper is that no one knows. For example: Bobby Engram out of the slot this year for Kanas City in a spread offense will put up great numbers. He’s a sleeper because people forgot where he plays and don’t really know who he is. Pierre Thomas is not a sleeper. He goes in the second/third round, those people can’t be underrated, your’re using a top 15-25 pick on them!
MIKE: FICTION: Even though Pierre Thomas is loved by just about every fantasy guru that you know, he still deserves to be where he is ranked by these guys. Thomas will be put into an offense where he can excel and run up a scoreboard, with Brees leading him into the Red Zone more often than not. I think Pierre Thomas needs to go in the early third round. Don't let anyone ever tell you that a third rounder can't be underrated. These players could play like first rounders, thus strangely ensuring the fact that Thomas is still underrated, even though we're talking about him so much. My head hurts.
FINAL SCORE: 6 for 10.
1. Drew Brees will have a better season then Tom Brady.
MIKE: FICTION: I was hesitant to initially write fiction; however, it's clearly evident that a smart man should not bet against Tom Brady. The only intelligent argument against Brady is that he may sit out a week towards the end of the season, but a healthy Brady is the best qb in all of fantasy football. Moss and Welker and great receivers and the Patriots should be passing an extensive amount, especially in the beginning of games. Although Brees put up great numbers last year and has a healthy Colston, he is just not better than Tom Brady.
J: FACT: When drafting early in fantasy football you like to have picks that you know will produce, some call them safe picks. I call them smart picks. My smart pick this year at the end of the first/beginning of the second (according to ADP) is Drew Brees. No Quarterback in the history of football has thrown for at least 4,400 yards and at least 26 TDs in three straight seasons, except Mr. Brees. In 40 of his 48 games that he has played in his career he’s thrown for at least 200 yards. Our league offers a performance bonus for eclipsing the 200/300/400 mark...that’s where Brees earns his keep. Mark it down...Brees over Brady.
Score: 0 for 1.
2. RB/RB Strategy in Fantasy Drafts is Over.
MIKE: FACT: I wouldn't say that in all fantasy drafts, it's over, but I would say that in our league, it is indeed over. Considering the league scoring system has dramatically changed this year, I would say that WR's and QB's are just as valuable as a running back. Brady, Manning, and Brees should all go in the first two rounds along with Fitzgerald, Andrew Johnson, and Randy Moss. These players will impact your team much more, especially considering you can hold off and get similar numbers from a Brandon Jacobs or a Frank Gore in the 4th or 5th round when compared to a few of the 1st and second round round RB's.
J: FACT: I think the days of going Running Back/Running Back are officially over. Too many teams now employee the RBBC (Running Back By Committee) approach. I could poke numerous holes in any of the top ten or so Running Backs, and the same goes with Wideouts. As I said earlier in the first few rounds of a draft you should look for stable, predictable players. I mean there is a reason Peyton Manning goes higher then his little brother. I know Manning will fetch over 4,000 yards and over 30 TDs. You need to know that your first round pick will deliver like a first round pick, running backs simply cannot promise that anymore. The best draft strategy is “talent first”. Draft the best player available and sort it all out later.
Score: 1 for 2
3. Brett Favre helps the value of Adrian Peterson.
MIKE: FICTION: Going from Tavaris Jackson to Brett Favre makes the Vikings a much better team. Brett Favre will take his usual chances downfield to Bernard Berrien, thus creating less opportunities for Adrian Peterson. I will concede the fact that the Vikings will move down the field better because of Favre, but Favre's comfort in his Wrangler Jeans will not save him from having 3 interception games. Therefore, Adrian Peterson will take a hit, although will still put up great numbers.
J: FICTION: People will point to the Thomas Jones campaign of last year and state that AP will have a similar year, but that is just a cold hard untruth. Adrian has his own problems (fumbles, injury problems and Chester Taylor) the last thing he needs is the Anti-Fountain of Youth Brett Favre behind center. Favre is selfish player and will attempt to play gun slinger for another year. He’ll throw picks left and right, and pull off some amazing plays to boot. However one thing Favre hasn’t really done ever in his career is hand the ball off. I think Favre takes snaps AWAY from Peterson, thus overall hurting his fantasy value a bit.
Score: 2 for 3.
4. Jay Cutler helps the value of Matt Forte.
MIKE: FACT: Judging from training camp notes and preseason games, it is obvious that Forte will get his carries as part of the Bears offensive game plan. In a struggling offense last year, the Bears will finally have a QB that can drive the ball downfield, causing Forte to get more red-zone touches. Furthermore, the Bears have indicated that Forte will also get the ball through the air, with the possibility of him getting more receptions than his RB league leading 63 in 2008.
J: FACT: Although I don’t see him leading the RB’s in receptions again this year Cutler when on is one of the best QB’s in the league. He will have defenses on their heels for the majority of the season. My concern comes in the fact that the Bears still have no main threat in the receiving corps. Therefore defenses could stack the box against Forte. Forte (our of Tulane) will still produce in an upper tier level. He shows quickness and vision, two things that every elite back needs. He’ll score double digit TD’s and go over or about 1500 yards.
Score: 3 for 4.
5. Brandon Marshall is undraftable?
MIKE: FICTION: I cannot believe that this is even a question, to be honest. I think every manager would not hesitate to draft Marshall in the late rounds if given the opportunity. The late rounds is where a number of teams will take chances and hope that Marshall backs off the trade talk or is not sidelined for a lingering hip injury. Marshall has showed success in the past and an intelligent person can not consider him undraftable, if it gets to a later round. The real question here is how early will he go. To be concise, any manager that considers Brandon Marshall undraftable probably should not be alive.
J: FICTION: I am so low I’m underground on Marshall this year. As a matter of fact Forgetting Brandon Marshall should be my draft strategy. However if you can get him low in a draft in the double digits rounds he could be a steal. The facts are that he has a hip issue, he doesn’t know the playbook and he wants a trade. Well I doubt he sits out the entire year. I think he plays, and how many plays do you need to know...his playbooks is this: run, grab the ball, score. He’s TO-lite really but he could still help you. If you draft him any higher then the 10-12th round you are a stone cold fool. Let’s face it people, they left him in Denver when they went to their preseason game, that’s not a ringing endorsement.
Score: 4 for 5.
6. LT is a TOP FIVE pick
J: FICTION: I do not think LT will go in the top five in almost any draft. That being said I think he will put up top teir running back numbers. It says a lot about a player when his “worst” season he still eclipsed 1,130 yards or so. That’s impressive. Obvisouly Sproles takes carries away from him but this year LT will be out to prove he is still the bulldozer we know he can be. However he does not go in the top five picks.
MIKE: FACT: I have LT right around the fifth spot. I know how some people would say that you shouldn't take a risk in the first round, but LT could be a player that wins you a championship. Although most people were pretty down on LT as of last year, his numbers were suprisingly strong, with 52 receptions and 11 rushing touchdowns. I honestly believe that this is the year where the Chargers offense becomes one of the best in the NFL, producing more TD's for LT than a few of the RB's drafted before him.
Score: 5 for 6.
7. Megatron is a Number Three WR
J: FACT: Without a doubt a no brainer. I have him as the second overall WR this year right after Andre Johnson. That’s right neither Fitzy or Moss is in my top two, Fitz falls at three. 78 receptions, 1,331 and 12 tds and that’s with NO ONE throwing him the ball. Seriously the Lions suck at QB. Stafford might not even see playing time till half way through the year. It doesn’t matter who throws it Megatron will catch it and he’ll do it with style. He’s a legit top tier wideout if only for the fact that the Lions consistently play from behind each and every year. Draft Johnson and be happy!
MIKE: FICTION: As much as I like Calvin Johnson, there is more to like in Randy Moss, Andre Johnson, and Larry Fitzgerald. With Brady throwing, Moss could put up his numbers from 2007. Johnson silently led the league in receptions and receiving yards last year. The main question here is Fitzgerald versus Calvin. I give the nod to Fitz because of his ability to catch the jump ball that Kurt Warner will continuously throw up this year. Furthermore, nobody knows how Stafford will work out for the Lions, making this a fiction.
Score: 5 for 7
8. Steve Slaton goes in the second round
J: FACT: I have Slaton right there as one of I think the top SIX-EIGHT running backs in the league this year. I believe Slaton came to my team via waivers last year and I was very glad he did. You always root for a local product...1,282 yards and 9 TDs as a rookie is an amazing line. Factor in a “healthy” Matt Schab and Slaton will reap the reward. Mix in 50 receptions (18 less then league leader Forte) and Slaton becomes Forte-lite, available a little later and I think you’re getting around the same numbers. Slaton should go early second round (but probably not to me)
MIKE: FACT: Slaton put up some ridiculous numbers for a rookie, and there is reason to believe that his numbers will only improve this year. In a PPR league, Slaton is "slated" to get a large number of receptions. Also, he will still add to his 9 TD's from last year and 1282 yards. Looks like Slaton should be a steal in the late second round as long as the rest of the league goes QB and WR happy. The only concern would be a sophomore struggle, but he is off to a good umm... slate in preseason and training camp.
Score: 6 for 8.
9. Is Aaron Rodgers the 4th Best QB four our Draft.
J: FACT: Finally removed from “that other guy’s” shadow Aaron Rodgers posted 28 TDs and 4,038 yards, those numbers aren’t exactly easy to come by. He also added 4 rushing TDs. So that’s 32 TDs...that’s pretty impressive. With TO finally out of Dallas I think Rodgers jumps Romo on any type of league, most certainly ours. Donald Driver, Greg Jennings are still around and are still very good. Also look for a healthy Ryan Grant to take some pressure off the passing game this time around leading to hopefully a few more TD throws for good old Aaron. I think he’s easily the fourth best, I don’t know if he’ll picked like that or not.
MIKE: FICTION: This debate basically hinges on the battle between Rodgers and Rivers. Brady, Manning, and Brees are all better than Rodgers, so the battle for the 4th best QB is down to two players. As previously mentioned, I believe that this is the year for the Chargers offense to once again dominate. Vincent Jackson and Antonio Gates will help Rivers, along with LT getting a number of receptions, and turning them into big gains. On the other hand, Greg Jennings is the main weapon for Rodgers. Donald Driver is another weapon for Rodgers, but is only an OK target. So, Rivers looks to me to be the next best QB, edging out Rodgers.
Score: 6 for 9.
10. Pierre Thomas used to be underrated, but now is liked by so many people for being underrated, that he is actually overrated
J: FACT: Nothing angers me more then when someone let’s the cat out of the bag about a sleeper that he doesn’t become a sleeper anymore. The beauty of the sleeper is that no one knows. For example: Bobby Engram out of the slot this year for Kanas City in a spread offense will put up great numbers. He’s a sleeper because people forgot where he plays and don’t really know who he is. Pierre Thomas is not a sleeper. He goes in the second/third round, those people can’t be underrated, your’re using a top 15-25 pick on them!
MIKE: FICTION: Even though Pierre Thomas is loved by just about every fantasy guru that you know, he still deserves to be where he is ranked by these guys. Thomas will be put into an offense where he can excel and run up a scoreboard, with Brees leading him into the Red Zone more often than not. I think Pierre Thomas needs to go in the early third round. Don't let anyone ever tell you that a third rounder can't be underrated. These players could play like first rounders, thus strangely ensuring the fact that Thomas is still underrated, even though we're talking about him so much. My head hurts.
FINAL SCORE: 6 for 10.
posted by Jason M. at 12:06 PM
0 comments
Thursday, September 11, 2008
Fact or Fiction: 9.11.2008
Fact or Fiction: 9.11.08
Question 1: Michael Turner is the real deal, not just a flash in the pan.
Chris Vito: Fiction. First off, don't know what your fascination with MT is, but I do think he's a flash in the pan. When I hear 'real deal', I think Bo Jackson, Barry Sanders, Emmitt Smith. Those words don't conjure thoughts of a bulky, less-durable RB like Turner. He'll be productive, yes, but he's certainly not the next top-tier back in the game.
Jason Carfagno: Fiction. While I like Michael "The Burner" Turner Overdrive, I don't think that Atlanta offensive line can continue to block like that all season long. That being said, I think he's certainly a startable running back each and every week. He's going to get handed the rock a lot, to take pressure off Matt Ryan. And you know what they say...even a broken clock is right twice a day.
Question 2: A rumor has surfaced that Tom Brady's injury could lure Daunte Culpepper out of his brief retirement. Good move for DC - fact or fiction?
Jason Carfagno: Fiction. Simply fiction because it won't happen. Culpepper will not come out of retirement and sign with the Pats. Although it would be awesome for Randy Moss owners, like me, it will never happen. All DC, as you effectively call him has is the deep ball. He can't throw the slant, the out route that Wes Welker runs so great. It won't happen, Bill BeliDICK will live by Matt Cassel and he'll die by Matt Cassel.
Chris Vito: Fiction. Along the same lines, I'd love to see a Culpepper-Moss connection, and I think it would help any fantasy owner of a Patriots' offensive player... but its just not likely. If you have anyone except Moss, I'd sell, sell, sell, because Matt Cassel isn't Tom Brady.
Question 3: Willie Parker will continue his dominance for the entire season.
Chris Vito: Fiction. There's a reason the Steelers took Rashard Mendenhall in the first round - Parker is not a reliable, durable option for 16 games. He's a good base for fantasy owners, but he doesn't stack up to LT, B West and the other elite backs. On the other hand...I wish I had him on my team
Jason Carfagno: Fiction. As someone who took Mendenhall in our draft, I think his stock is dropped. Parker looked very good on the ground, but let's be honest it was against the Houston Texans, and they aren't much to write home about. I'll be more impressed when he performs a few weeks in a row, consistency, is the key in fantasy football. Parker isn't there yet.
Question 4: The Ravens held Cincinnati to 154 yards of total offense last week. Despite the talk of an aged defense in Baltimore, this is still the same stingy unit we're used to seeing - Fact or Fiction?
Jason Carfagno: Fiction. Although I did mention the Ravens in our video last week, and you stated that the Ravens were old and that Ed Reed was washed up, and so on. But let's be honest they played the Bengals, and there was nothing to write home about with that team. Carson Palmer is all but done, the WRs are in shambles with health issues, and their running back situation is a losing situation. Don't buy high on the Ravens yet, they need to prove themselves a little bit.
Chris Vito: Fact. Any defense that features Ed Reed, a hard-hitting AFC equivalent of Brian Dawkins, is going to be deadly. I'm a big fan of the 3-4 defense, and in the AFC North, with four teams that love to run the ball, I think this is the definite pickup of fantasy leagues all over, especially since most fantasy preview mags had Baltimore rated in the bottom 15 rather than the top 15.
Question 5: The Browns don't have the same magic they did last year.
Chris Vito: Fiction. I don't know if we set out to focus on the AFC North but we've done a good job of it. The Browns have all the same pieces, even adding to their offensive and defensive lines this season in bigtime draft-day trades. It's a winnable division, and with so many fantasy playmakers (Derek Anderson, Braylon Edwards, Kellen Winslow, etc.) they'll be back. It'll take some time, but it's worth the wait. They're motivated after getting screwed out of the playoffs by a Titans team with the same record.
Jason Carfagno: Fact. The Browns are done. Before there was not a lot to go on with this team. There was no real video on Derek Anderson. Now defenses know what they need to do to stop this team. Braylon Edwards has too many drops to really take a hold of the elite WR spot. Kellen Winslow Jr. needs to stay healthy. Too many questions on that team.
Question 6: Tom Brady has been dropped from nearly 5,000 Yahoo leagues this week. Jeff Garcia is hurt. Vince Young is MIA. Peyton Manning is gimpy. Donovan McNabb is always an injury concern. There just might not be enough fresh, viable signal-callers to go around this fantasy season - fact or fiction.
Jason Carfagno: Fiction. You mentioned three QBs that were hurt and hypothesized about others. Until other QBs go down there will be plenty of signal callers to go around in fantasy league. I mean 32 teams with QBs mean 32 quartbacks. Hell Daren McFadden can play some QB too, maybe LT.
Chris Vito: Fact. A quick scan of our free agents this week turned up Denver's Jay Cutler, who I picked up in light of Brady's injury, and a cavalcade of nobodys. Chad Pennington? Trent Edwards? Matt Schaub? Are these guys players you want to pin your fantasy hopes on? It speaks to the role league expansion can take on the talent pool when someone is paying Damon Huard to get under center.
posted by Jason M. at 12:16 PM
1 comments
Sunday, September 07, 2008
Monday, August 25, 2008
2008 Draft Review: Round 1 to 5
Fantasy football season is officially here. Today was college move in day for my brother, it reminds me of moving in last year so hyped about the football season. This year is no different. I am super pumped for the up coming season, and I know a lot of you are too. So let’s jump into it. Welcome to the 2008 Brois Fantasy Football Draft Review. I will be providing the witty commentary that has become a staple of this league.
I’ve also even added a man to my team, but you’ll see his debut later. I’d like to take a minute to talk about format here. This year I will hopefully be doing more with the “vlogs” that means I will put out probably one article, my other writer will do another article, and there will be the matchup video and then “Tuesday Morning Quarterback”. Matchups will go out on either Wednesday (if there is a game Thursday) or Thursday/Friday if there isn’t. Tuesday Morning QB goes up something Tuesday.
Okay here we go:
ROUND ONE:
1. Greater Ward : LT. This is the ultimate no duh pick in this draft. Michael Turner has left leaving no super monster back up to vulture away carries from him. LT has always scored double digit TDs in ever year of his career. He averages around 4.5 yards per carry consistently. Oh yeah and he’s only missed one regular season game in his career. He’s the clear Number One choice here.
2. Lesser Ward : Brian Westbrook. Last year Westbrook was third in rush yards, second in touches, eleventh for TDs and tenth for rush attempts, among RBs. I don’t know about you, but that’s pretty damn solid for me. Oh yeah and he set a team record for receptions. He’s a solid pick here in the Number Two position.
3. Microw : Adrian Peterson. What a victim of circumstance. I mean normally with the third pick you’re worrying that you aren’t going to get what you want. Well when Peterson falls to you, you have to be happy with that. AD (All Day) as he likes to be called has amazing upside. He has great speed, a great line and is tough to tackle. He has some knocks against him though. For example in his last four games last year, when owners (cough cough me cough cough) needed him the most he had single digit points. Oh yeah and he hasn’t played an entire season since 2004, when he was a freshmen in college.
4. Justin : Addai. Joseph Addai is a monster. Last year he had two three score games and averaged 4.1 YPC, those are some good numbers. He only failed to score in four games out of fourteen, that isn’t bad either. My knock against him is depth at the RB position. It seems like the Colts loaded up. Kenton Keith, Dominic Rhodes, and last and probably most important Mike Hart (MICHIGAN!) So with things a little crowded Addai could get less playing time. He’s still a monster though.
5. J : Randy Moss. I have a thing against drafting QB’s early, you all know that. So I went after the top WR on the board. Randy Moss will not catch 23 TDs again as defenses will do everything possibly to stop him, but he has Tom Brady as his QB. People have to pay attention to Wes Welker still. Moss will still get double digit TDs.
6. Vito : Tom Brady. Hey Chris, you’re welcome. How does 30-40 TDs sound? That’s about the level that Brady has shown he can operate at. Especially if Billy Bellichik gets angry and wants to run up the score again. However you have to be concerned about his nagging injury this pre season, although it could be smoke and mirrors. He’ll be on this season, and he’ll be damn good. I think the loss of Stallworth hurts him a little bit, but he’s still head and shoulders above every other QB this year.
7. John : Peyton Manning. The dream team is together again. As I write this Peyton Manning has yet to practice. There is also speculation swirling around about whether or not Peyton will play in the Colt’s opener. There is also a rumor that his knee is much worse then people originally thought. Normally Peyton is rock hard consistent. I for one think he’ll be fine, but it’s enough to have a back up plan in place. If Manning is fine, he’s never thrown less then 26 TDs, but I think he’s a terrible first round pick this year, especially when last season he threw one or zero TD passes in seven games.
8. McLeish : Steven Jackson. The long holdout is over, so I can write about how much I think Jackson is going to kill it this year. Al Saunders is saying that he’s going to use Jackson much like he used Priest Holmes back in the day, which is a really good thing. Also last year despite missing about six games, and playing behind a terribly hurt line, Jackson rushed for 1,000 yards. Imagine what he can do in a full season?
WINNER OF THE ROUND: Vito/Greater Ward with Brady and LT.
LOSER OF THE ROUND: John. Peyton Manning in the first round isn’t the wisest choice this year. Fantasy football is a sport about value. Had you have taken him with your second round pick, I would’ve been MORE okay with it. But not totally okay with it.
ROUND TWO:
1. McLeish : Frank Gore. Here are some stats…Gore has never scored double digit touchdowns. Every time Mike Martz comes into an offense the running back’s carriers go down. Those are two things you cannot like. Add that into a QB situation that is undecided, a line that isn’t great and no other real threats on offense, and well you have a recipe for potential disaster. Or Frank Gore becomes Marshall Faulk Lite.
2. John: Braylon Edwards. He’s good, no doubt about that. He has the second most drops in the past two years. Last year he had career numbers in yards and TDs and he’s entering that magical third year, as I’m sure Fantasy Football Toolbox alerted. I think that TO and Wayne are better then him, but he’s still damn good. Like I said on draft day, I’m doubtful if the Browns can produce their magic two years in a row. Also with Derek Anderson currently injured his value takes a hit, Brady Quinn is untested.
3. Vito : TO. He has the most drops out of any receiver in the past two years. And he’s headed into a contract year with a QB who likes to throw deep. Those two things out weigh anything bad you can think about him. Oh and also last year was his best year since 2001. He’s going to have motivation to play good too. With the rest of the offense being stellar (Witten, Romo, Barber) expect TO to get his in the end.
4. J : Reggie Wayne: Last year Reggie had career numbers in yards and receptions. If Marvin Harrison returns to form Wayne could suffer a hit and a half, but I don’t see that happening. Wayne and Manning have clicked and there is no turning back.
5. Justin : Chad Johnson. Wow, I think he’s going too high here. He seems happy and he’s going to want to prove that he deserves more money but here is a stat you CANNOT ignore. Chad Johnson has recorded double digit TDs only once in his career and it wasn’t with Carson Palmer. And currently…he has a sprained shoulder. I don’t know what to make of that injury, but I know they’re dropping like flies in Cinnci. Have fun with that mess.
6. Microw: Marion Barber the Third, or as I like to call him MB3. Something to look for is Felix Jones. Dallas loves to use two backs, as they did with Barber and Julius Jones. With Barber’s running style it’s almost a given Jones will get SOME time. But Marion finds the end zone no matter what, double digit TDs are a realistic possibility.
7. Lesser Ward : Clinton Portis: I have a feeling that we are going to get an MVP type performance from Clinton this year. Last year he was first in the league with carries, always a good thing when dealing with a RB, and he caught 47 passes. He was second in touches and third in yards from scrimmage. That’s an impressive stat package. The addition of the West Coast offense only helps him here. Good pick.
8. Greater Ward: Ryan Grant. I don’t know if I’m buying the hype on Ryan Grant this year. Sophmore running back without Brett Favre and a highlight worthy passing game. That could be trouble. Take a look at the game that the Packers needed the most…the playoff game against the G-Men, there was only 13 carries for Grant in that game. He ran for 29 yards. Not good numbers…yikes.
WINNER OF THE ROUND: Lesser Ward with Clinton Portis. I think he has a shot to be the MVP this year.
LOSER OF THE ROUND: Justin and Chad Johnson. Just too high buddy.
ROUND THREE:
1. Greater Ward : Reggie Bush. Here’s the thing about Reggie…last year was his chance to be the breakout star we all think he can be. He didn’t do anything with that gig. And now Deuce is back, Pierre Thomas is getting good reports out of camp and Aaron Stecker is still around somewhere. That’s a bit of a crowded backfield. However if the Saints use him like they did as a rookie, things will look up. Huge upside here, but at what cost?
2. Lesser Ward : Wes Welker. I thought this was a little early as well but I’ll entertain it. He is perfect for a slot/secondary receiver in the NFL and in a PPR league yeah he’s tops. I think he’ll be getting a little more attention this year though.
3. Microw : Larry Fitz. Last year Larry Fitz was just as good as he was in his 2005 breakout campaign. That’s crazy. He won’t be able to duplicate that feat again though, at least not with the Lefty (Matt Leinhart) taking back the reigns. However if Kurt Warner is there, he likes to sling it. Also if Boldin gets moved or continue his pouting that’s only good for Larry’s fantasy value.
4. Justin : Tony Romo. He likes to throw downfiled that is no surprise. He has an elite WR in TO playing with him, Jason Witten is amazing. Romo is surrounded by talent. And here’s your stat: his Yard Per Attempt last year were second to only Tom Brady. You can’t argue with how good Tony Romo was, until the playoffs. Sad face for me.
5. J : Marshawn Lynch. He had a 4.0 yards per carry average and 26 targets and 18 receptions last year as a rookie. When Willis McGahee was in Buffalo he was handed the rock and let run. Lynch is going to be the same. He’s a lock for about ten TDs. His health is a minor question, but not that big to bring him down.
6. Vito : Housh. I think defenses are finally catching on to his game. Although with CJ lining up on the opposite side of him, there will be plenty of holes. He had a career low in Yards per Catch last year. That being said he’s entering a contract year and has to perform to get paid. Those dollars are always incententive. I think this is a little early for him though.
7. Pisula : Andre Johnson. Johnson didn’t play half the season last year so there is a bit of a health question, but again only minor. His relationship with Matt Schaub should only get better. In four games last year the pair posted 23 receptions, 419 yards and 4 tds. Those are some good numbers. He’ll be decent down the stretch.
8. McLeish : Larry Johnson. He has a problem with the line being bad, he had a foot injury last year, and to top all of this off his QB is not really that good. Defenses can key on him and in a big way. Don’t expect those amazing numbers we got before, but 10 TDs isn’t TOTALLY out of reach. I’m thinking seven.
WINNER OF THE ROUND: Justin with Tony Romo, solid pick.
LOSER OF THE ROUND: Greater Ward with Reggie Bush. Although it’s close to Vito with Housh.
ROUND FOUR:
1. McLeish : Marques Colston. The offense is a crazy bunch, they spread the field and throw the ball around. With Reggie Bush expected to see some time split out look for more one on one’s with Colston. His numbers went up last year from his rookie year and they’ll probably stay in the same neighborhood (11 TDs).
2. John : Ronnie Brown. According to a report that ESPN and some college had put out only one out of twenty five running backs recover fully from a torn ACL, the injury that Brown had last year. Given he was the only bright spot on that Miami team but guess what…now you have Ricky Williams stealing carries, Brown has a sprained thumb…things aren’t going good, or great. This is an interesting pick up because it’s your “number one” running back.
3. Vito : Willis McGaee. He has a knee problem now. Ray Rice the rookie has been getting a lot of praise. Troy Smith is sick, that offensive line is a monster though. If that group can stay healthy, then Willis, if he’s healthy can have a good year. I don’t think either happens. Ray Rice is the handcuff that will accel when given the rock. Although at the time of the draft, he was a good pick.
4. J : Drew Brees. He broke the NFL record for completions last year, that’s a good record for a QB to break. He also tossed 28 TDs. I like his value in Round Four of any draft. He’s got a deep threat in Colston, a goal line threat in Shockey, and running backs that catch the swings. He’s set for a fantasy run.
5. Justin : Maurice Jones Drew. Did I mention how much I hate time shares in the NFL? Running Back by Committee is some lame ass shit, it really is. MJD catches the ball on third down, he scores some TDs, but as long as he isn’t the number guy. I personally don’t like him. He went were he should go though. Decent pick.
6. Microw : Roy Williams. With Mike Martz out of town, maybe the Lions go back to running more and keeping defenses honest meaning that people aren’t teeing off on Roy every play. But Williams is only as good as the Lions, namely Jon Kitna, allow him to be. Give him the ball and he’ll do things with it, although he only had 64 receptions last year.
7. Lesser Ward : Tory “Big Game” Holt. He was a part of my St. Louis triple threat last year that never really panned out. Holt has had 93 receptions in each of the past two seasons, and pretty much the same yards in that time too (1,188 in 06 and 1,189 in 07) but his TDs are going down. I think this year though they could go back to around 10, but I’m not holding my breath.
8. Greater Ward : Carson Palmer. He threw 20 INTs last year, that’s 40 points down the drain in this league. His TDS also were down from the year before, he’s receiving corps is banged up right now, so only time will tell. Also if you take away that week two game in Cleveland when he threw six TDs Palmer only threw 20 TDs in 15 games.
WINNER OF THE ROUND: I like to think that Drew Brees falling into the Fourth Round and being able to get him was a good pick. I’ll also throw Colston into this spot.
LOSER OF THE ROUND: Greater Ward, there are better QBs around.
ROUND FIVE:
1. Greater Ward : Plaxico Burress. He had a knee, ankle and shoulder problem last year but that didn’t seem to limit him any. What I would watch out for is Eli Manning. Manning has great first halves of the year but all but vanishes in the second half. Forget his miracle playoff run it didn’t matter in Fantasy. Burress also has 22 TDs in two years, hard numbers to ignore. However the Giants could be heading for a nice Super Bowl hangover.
2. Lesser Ward : Big Ben. I’ve been targeting him in other leagues, I like his upside, I like his receiving corps. I like the fact that he has two RBs behind him now. Things are looking good for him. His career Yards Per Attempt is 8.1, that’s pretty high. If his offensive line can prevent pressure this could be a big year. I like this pick…like it a lot.
3. Microw : Derek Anderson. I don’t like this pick. There is upside given everything around him (Stallworth, Edwards, Winslow Jr.) but the downside is that in the final seven games of the season he threw only 7 TDs and 8 INTs, and that Brady Quinn is one bad game away. Can he repeat the surprise of 07, doubtful.
4. Justin Smith : Antonio Gates. And thus starts the run on TEs. Congrats Justin! Last year was probably Gates “worst” year in the NFL. He still scored 9 TDs and had 900 some yards with 70 some receptions but Dallas Clark outscored him in TDs, Tony Gonzalez had more yards, and Witten was the First Team All Pro tight end. He had toe surgery in the off season, so that’s something to look out for, but with the Chargers you know he’s going to get his at the end of the day. He’s the clear number one TE.
5. J : Thomas Jones. Two words: Brett Favre. With Favre in town, no longer can defenses laugh at the passing game of the New York Jets. That will take some pressure off TJ, who had over 1,000 yards last year. Hopefully the TDs go up this year, also you have to like Jones to catch some passes out of the back field. Plus playing the Dolphins twice I count on big games.
6. Vito : Kellen Winslow Jr. I think he’s going a tad bit high here (before Witten? Before Cooley?) but he’s a beast. He catches the ball and has huge upside with the lineup the Browns have this season if they can catch lighting in a bottle again. Just be weary of his health. He isn’t the best at staying healthy.
7. Pisula : Witten. What’s there to like here? A 1,000 yards. Check. 7 TDs. 96 receptions. Hell you don’t get those numbers out of some receivers. Jason Witten is a monster, end of the story.
8. McLeish : McNabb. Well the Eagles wideouts are currently hurt, but still McNabb never let bum receivers really hurt him that much. Last year at the end of the year he completed 63 percent of his passes, and of course threw six TDs and only one pick. He looks good this year, but can he stay healthy?
WINNER OF THE ROUND: Lesser Ward and Big Ben.
LOSER OF THE ROUND: Microw and McLeish with their questionable QB picks.
I’ve also even added a man to my team, but you’ll see his debut later. I’d like to take a minute to talk about format here. This year I will hopefully be doing more with the “vlogs” that means I will put out probably one article, my other writer will do another article, and there will be the matchup video and then “Tuesday Morning Quarterback”. Matchups will go out on either Wednesday (if there is a game Thursday) or Thursday/Friday if there isn’t. Tuesday Morning QB goes up something Tuesday.
Okay here we go:
ROUND ONE:
1. Greater Ward : LT. This is the ultimate no duh pick in this draft. Michael Turner has left leaving no super monster back up to vulture away carries from him. LT has always scored double digit TDs in ever year of his career. He averages around 4.5 yards per carry consistently. Oh yeah and he’s only missed one regular season game in his career. He’s the clear Number One choice here.
2. Lesser Ward : Brian Westbrook. Last year Westbrook was third in rush yards, second in touches, eleventh for TDs and tenth for rush attempts, among RBs. I don’t know about you, but that’s pretty damn solid for me. Oh yeah and he set a team record for receptions. He’s a solid pick here in the Number Two position.
3. Microw : Adrian Peterson. What a victim of circumstance. I mean normally with the third pick you’re worrying that you aren’t going to get what you want. Well when Peterson falls to you, you have to be happy with that. AD (All Day) as he likes to be called has amazing upside. He has great speed, a great line and is tough to tackle. He has some knocks against him though. For example in his last four games last year, when owners (cough cough me cough cough) needed him the most he had single digit points. Oh yeah and he hasn’t played an entire season since 2004, when he was a freshmen in college.
4. Justin : Addai. Joseph Addai is a monster. Last year he had two three score games and averaged 4.1 YPC, those are some good numbers. He only failed to score in four games out of fourteen, that isn’t bad either. My knock against him is depth at the RB position. It seems like the Colts loaded up. Kenton Keith, Dominic Rhodes, and last and probably most important Mike Hart (MICHIGAN!) So with things a little crowded Addai could get less playing time. He’s still a monster though.
5. J : Randy Moss. I have a thing against drafting QB’s early, you all know that. So I went after the top WR on the board. Randy Moss will not catch 23 TDs again as defenses will do everything possibly to stop him, but he has Tom Brady as his QB. People have to pay attention to Wes Welker still. Moss will still get double digit TDs.
6. Vito : Tom Brady. Hey Chris, you’re welcome. How does 30-40 TDs sound? That’s about the level that Brady has shown he can operate at. Especially if Billy Bellichik gets angry and wants to run up the score again. However you have to be concerned about his nagging injury this pre season, although it could be smoke and mirrors. He’ll be on this season, and he’ll be damn good. I think the loss of Stallworth hurts him a little bit, but he’s still head and shoulders above every other QB this year.
7. John : Peyton Manning. The dream team is together again. As I write this Peyton Manning has yet to practice. There is also speculation swirling around about whether or not Peyton will play in the Colt’s opener. There is also a rumor that his knee is much worse then people originally thought. Normally Peyton is rock hard consistent. I for one think he’ll be fine, but it’s enough to have a back up plan in place. If Manning is fine, he’s never thrown less then 26 TDs, but I think he’s a terrible first round pick this year, especially when last season he threw one or zero TD passes in seven games.
8. McLeish : Steven Jackson. The long holdout is over, so I can write about how much I think Jackson is going to kill it this year. Al Saunders is saying that he’s going to use Jackson much like he used Priest Holmes back in the day, which is a really good thing. Also last year despite missing about six games, and playing behind a terribly hurt line, Jackson rushed for 1,000 yards. Imagine what he can do in a full season?
WINNER OF THE ROUND: Vito/Greater Ward with Brady and LT.
LOSER OF THE ROUND: John. Peyton Manning in the first round isn’t the wisest choice this year. Fantasy football is a sport about value. Had you have taken him with your second round pick, I would’ve been MORE okay with it. But not totally okay with it.
ROUND TWO:
1. McLeish : Frank Gore. Here are some stats…Gore has never scored double digit touchdowns. Every time Mike Martz comes into an offense the running back’s carriers go down. Those are two things you cannot like. Add that into a QB situation that is undecided, a line that isn’t great and no other real threats on offense, and well you have a recipe for potential disaster. Or Frank Gore becomes Marshall Faulk Lite.
2. John: Braylon Edwards. He’s good, no doubt about that. He has the second most drops in the past two years. Last year he had career numbers in yards and TDs and he’s entering that magical third year, as I’m sure Fantasy Football Toolbox alerted. I think that TO and Wayne are better then him, but he’s still damn good. Like I said on draft day, I’m doubtful if the Browns can produce their magic two years in a row. Also with Derek Anderson currently injured his value takes a hit, Brady Quinn is untested.
3. Vito : TO. He has the most drops out of any receiver in the past two years. And he’s headed into a contract year with a QB who likes to throw deep. Those two things out weigh anything bad you can think about him. Oh and also last year was his best year since 2001. He’s going to have motivation to play good too. With the rest of the offense being stellar (Witten, Romo, Barber) expect TO to get his in the end.
4. J : Reggie Wayne: Last year Reggie had career numbers in yards and receptions. If Marvin Harrison returns to form Wayne could suffer a hit and a half, but I don’t see that happening. Wayne and Manning have clicked and there is no turning back.
5. Justin : Chad Johnson. Wow, I think he’s going too high here. He seems happy and he’s going to want to prove that he deserves more money but here is a stat you CANNOT ignore. Chad Johnson has recorded double digit TDs only once in his career and it wasn’t with Carson Palmer. And currently…he has a sprained shoulder. I don’t know what to make of that injury, but I know they’re dropping like flies in Cinnci. Have fun with that mess.
6. Microw: Marion Barber the Third, or as I like to call him MB3. Something to look for is Felix Jones. Dallas loves to use two backs, as they did with Barber and Julius Jones. With Barber’s running style it’s almost a given Jones will get SOME time. But Marion finds the end zone no matter what, double digit TDs are a realistic possibility.
7. Lesser Ward : Clinton Portis: I have a feeling that we are going to get an MVP type performance from Clinton this year. Last year he was first in the league with carries, always a good thing when dealing with a RB, and he caught 47 passes. He was second in touches and third in yards from scrimmage. That’s an impressive stat package. The addition of the West Coast offense only helps him here. Good pick.
8. Greater Ward: Ryan Grant. I don’t know if I’m buying the hype on Ryan Grant this year. Sophmore running back without Brett Favre and a highlight worthy passing game. That could be trouble. Take a look at the game that the Packers needed the most…the playoff game against the G-Men, there was only 13 carries for Grant in that game. He ran for 29 yards. Not good numbers…yikes.
WINNER OF THE ROUND: Lesser Ward with Clinton Portis. I think he has a shot to be the MVP this year.
LOSER OF THE ROUND: Justin and Chad Johnson. Just too high buddy.
ROUND THREE:
1. Greater Ward : Reggie Bush. Here’s the thing about Reggie…last year was his chance to be the breakout star we all think he can be. He didn’t do anything with that gig. And now Deuce is back, Pierre Thomas is getting good reports out of camp and Aaron Stecker is still around somewhere. That’s a bit of a crowded backfield. However if the Saints use him like they did as a rookie, things will look up. Huge upside here, but at what cost?
2. Lesser Ward : Wes Welker. I thought this was a little early as well but I’ll entertain it. He is perfect for a slot/secondary receiver in the NFL and in a PPR league yeah he’s tops. I think he’ll be getting a little more attention this year though.
3. Microw : Larry Fitz. Last year Larry Fitz was just as good as he was in his 2005 breakout campaign. That’s crazy. He won’t be able to duplicate that feat again though, at least not with the Lefty (Matt Leinhart) taking back the reigns. However if Kurt Warner is there, he likes to sling it. Also if Boldin gets moved or continue his pouting that’s only good for Larry’s fantasy value.
4. Justin : Tony Romo. He likes to throw downfiled that is no surprise. He has an elite WR in TO playing with him, Jason Witten is amazing. Romo is surrounded by talent. And here’s your stat: his Yard Per Attempt last year were second to only Tom Brady. You can’t argue with how good Tony Romo was, until the playoffs. Sad face for me.
5. J : Marshawn Lynch. He had a 4.0 yards per carry average and 26 targets and 18 receptions last year as a rookie. When Willis McGahee was in Buffalo he was handed the rock and let run. Lynch is going to be the same. He’s a lock for about ten TDs. His health is a minor question, but not that big to bring him down.
6. Vito : Housh. I think defenses are finally catching on to his game. Although with CJ lining up on the opposite side of him, there will be plenty of holes. He had a career low in Yards per Catch last year. That being said he’s entering a contract year and has to perform to get paid. Those dollars are always incententive. I think this is a little early for him though.
7. Pisula : Andre Johnson. Johnson didn’t play half the season last year so there is a bit of a health question, but again only minor. His relationship with Matt Schaub should only get better. In four games last year the pair posted 23 receptions, 419 yards and 4 tds. Those are some good numbers. He’ll be decent down the stretch.
8. McLeish : Larry Johnson. He has a problem with the line being bad, he had a foot injury last year, and to top all of this off his QB is not really that good. Defenses can key on him and in a big way. Don’t expect those amazing numbers we got before, but 10 TDs isn’t TOTALLY out of reach. I’m thinking seven.
WINNER OF THE ROUND: Justin with Tony Romo, solid pick.
LOSER OF THE ROUND: Greater Ward with Reggie Bush. Although it’s close to Vito with Housh.
ROUND FOUR:
1. McLeish : Marques Colston. The offense is a crazy bunch, they spread the field and throw the ball around. With Reggie Bush expected to see some time split out look for more one on one’s with Colston. His numbers went up last year from his rookie year and they’ll probably stay in the same neighborhood (11 TDs).
2. John : Ronnie Brown. According to a report that ESPN and some college had put out only one out of twenty five running backs recover fully from a torn ACL, the injury that Brown had last year. Given he was the only bright spot on that Miami team but guess what…now you have Ricky Williams stealing carries, Brown has a sprained thumb…things aren’t going good, or great. This is an interesting pick up because it’s your “number one” running back.
3. Vito : Willis McGaee. He has a knee problem now. Ray Rice the rookie has been getting a lot of praise. Troy Smith is sick, that offensive line is a monster though. If that group can stay healthy, then Willis, if he’s healthy can have a good year. I don’t think either happens. Ray Rice is the handcuff that will accel when given the rock. Although at the time of the draft, he was a good pick.
4. J : Drew Brees. He broke the NFL record for completions last year, that’s a good record for a QB to break. He also tossed 28 TDs. I like his value in Round Four of any draft. He’s got a deep threat in Colston, a goal line threat in Shockey, and running backs that catch the swings. He’s set for a fantasy run.
5. Justin : Maurice Jones Drew. Did I mention how much I hate time shares in the NFL? Running Back by Committee is some lame ass shit, it really is. MJD catches the ball on third down, he scores some TDs, but as long as he isn’t the number guy. I personally don’t like him. He went were he should go though. Decent pick.
6. Microw : Roy Williams. With Mike Martz out of town, maybe the Lions go back to running more and keeping defenses honest meaning that people aren’t teeing off on Roy every play. But Williams is only as good as the Lions, namely Jon Kitna, allow him to be. Give him the ball and he’ll do things with it, although he only had 64 receptions last year.
7. Lesser Ward : Tory “Big Game” Holt. He was a part of my St. Louis triple threat last year that never really panned out. Holt has had 93 receptions in each of the past two seasons, and pretty much the same yards in that time too (1,188 in 06 and 1,189 in 07) but his TDs are going down. I think this year though they could go back to around 10, but I’m not holding my breath.
8. Greater Ward : Carson Palmer. He threw 20 INTs last year, that’s 40 points down the drain in this league. His TDS also were down from the year before, he’s receiving corps is banged up right now, so only time will tell. Also if you take away that week two game in Cleveland when he threw six TDs Palmer only threw 20 TDs in 15 games.
WINNER OF THE ROUND: I like to think that Drew Brees falling into the Fourth Round and being able to get him was a good pick. I’ll also throw Colston into this spot.
LOSER OF THE ROUND: Greater Ward, there are better QBs around.
ROUND FIVE:
1. Greater Ward : Plaxico Burress. He had a knee, ankle and shoulder problem last year but that didn’t seem to limit him any. What I would watch out for is Eli Manning. Manning has great first halves of the year but all but vanishes in the second half. Forget his miracle playoff run it didn’t matter in Fantasy. Burress also has 22 TDs in two years, hard numbers to ignore. However the Giants could be heading for a nice Super Bowl hangover.
2. Lesser Ward : Big Ben. I’ve been targeting him in other leagues, I like his upside, I like his receiving corps. I like the fact that he has two RBs behind him now. Things are looking good for him. His career Yards Per Attempt is 8.1, that’s pretty high. If his offensive line can prevent pressure this could be a big year. I like this pick…like it a lot.
3. Microw : Derek Anderson. I don’t like this pick. There is upside given everything around him (Stallworth, Edwards, Winslow Jr.) but the downside is that in the final seven games of the season he threw only 7 TDs and 8 INTs, and that Brady Quinn is one bad game away. Can he repeat the surprise of 07, doubtful.
4. Justin Smith : Antonio Gates. And thus starts the run on TEs. Congrats Justin! Last year was probably Gates “worst” year in the NFL. He still scored 9 TDs and had 900 some yards with 70 some receptions but Dallas Clark outscored him in TDs, Tony Gonzalez had more yards, and Witten was the First Team All Pro tight end. He had toe surgery in the off season, so that’s something to look out for, but with the Chargers you know he’s going to get his at the end of the day. He’s the clear number one TE.
5. J : Thomas Jones. Two words: Brett Favre. With Favre in town, no longer can defenses laugh at the passing game of the New York Jets. That will take some pressure off TJ, who had over 1,000 yards last year. Hopefully the TDs go up this year, also you have to like Jones to catch some passes out of the back field. Plus playing the Dolphins twice I count on big games.
6. Vito : Kellen Winslow Jr. I think he’s going a tad bit high here (before Witten? Before Cooley?) but he’s a beast. He catches the ball and has huge upside with the lineup the Browns have this season if they can catch lighting in a bottle again. Just be weary of his health. He isn’t the best at staying healthy.
7. Pisula : Witten. What’s there to like here? A 1,000 yards. Check. 7 TDs. 96 receptions. Hell you don’t get those numbers out of some receivers. Jason Witten is a monster, end of the story.
8. McLeish : McNabb. Well the Eagles wideouts are currently hurt, but still McNabb never let bum receivers really hurt him that much. Last year at the end of the year he completed 63 percent of his passes, and of course threw six TDs and only one pick. He looks good this year, but can he stay healthy?
WINNER OF THE ROUND: Lesser Ward and Big Ben.
LOSER OF THE ROUND: Microw and McLeish with their questionable QB picks.
posted by Jason M. at 11:32 AM
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Saturday, October 27, 2007
Week 8
Okay you know what no witty insights here, no little banter, this is just straight up prediction stuff. Okay I lied…
Nazahoes (4-3) vs. Nazabitches (5-2) – This is a big game…if I win I tie with John, if I lose I could start a slippery slope here. So let’s get it on.
QB: Brian Griese vs. Peyton Manning. Let’s be honest here Peyton Manning is the measuring stick of QBs in recent years, this year it’s Tom Brady. Either way Manning will tear up a Carolina DEF that has lost multiple steps in it’s aging. 300 yards and 3 tosses is probably a good range to start. Brian Griese is keeping the Bears fantasy worthy single handiledly I didn’t think that was possible but it is. He’ll go for 275 yards and two tosses. I think Manning gets the bump.
ADV: Manning
WRs: Santonio Holmes/Kevin Walter vs. Burress and Housh. Housh will have a good day, he’s keeping the Bengals in games. He’ll grab two TDs. Plaxico will catch a touch down but I don’t think the yardage is going to be there this week. The Giants are going to run down the Miam DEF. Holmes will catch a TD probably too but I don’t think the yardage will be there again. Playing the Bengals he could have a big day, good upside here. Kevin Walter is making the most out of the looks he’s getting, he is getting compared to Mike Furrey from last year, if you remember him. He’ll hall in a touchdown and the yards will be there. This is just about a push, but I tip the scales to John for the day Housh will have. If Denver can do it…
ADV: Burress and Housh.
RBs: Marshawn Lynch/Kevin Jones vs. MJD/Henry. Believer it or not a lot of people are high on Kevin Jones against the Bears this week and given the performance of Westbrook and Peterson against them, I can see where it’s coming from. Marshawn Lynch is playing against the Jets who let Kenny Watson score three TDs on them last week. Both of these guys have good matchups and can def. take over this week. MJD’s knee got hurt in that Monday Night game, on the short week he already missed Wed’s practice and was limited on Thrusday. Keep an eye on his status, against Tampa he’s a good option. Travis Henry’s ribs are the issue this week. And he missed practice on Thrusday, if he plays hs faces a terrible Green Bay DEF but guess what…he might be a game time decision. Can you really wait till Monday Night to see what’s going on? I don’t know. I’m taking the two healthy running backs here.
ADV: Jones and Lynch.
TE: Chris Cooley vs. Owen Daniels. Chris Cooley has 4 of the 5 receiving TDs in Wash this year. I’ll take that percentage from any tight end in the league. Against the Pats the Skins will be throwing a lot as well. Cooley has a good chance to do well. Owen Daniels as well will play from behind, watch where this game is being played, could have a little impact. However the Linebacking Corp has been pretty solid for the Chargers. I like Cooley’s chances of getting a TD I’m picking him.
ADV: Cooley.
W/R: Peterson vs. Davis. Adrian Peterson is the real deal, a top three fantasy back for a rookie…amazing. Andre Davis good fill in for Ande Johnson. Andrew Davis won’t do half bad but I really do like Kevin Walter better. A lot of people are talking about that Adrian won’t be able to get some yards this week but you know what I think if he can pull it off against the Cowboys he can do it against the Eagles. I’m pick Peterson.
ADV: A. Pete.
K: The Battle of the Jeffs. Reed vs. Wilkins. The Rams offense has been super dismal this year, although with Sjax back that could change. Against the Browns Wilkins should get some chances. However Jeff Reed will see a full plate of work. Field goals as the Steelers offense will stall a bit and then XPs when they succeed.
ADV: Jeff Reed
DEF: Vikings vs. Jacksonville. The Vikings looked good against the Cowboys, a better team then the Eagles, and you can expect that Brad Childress will want to look good against the Eagles. Jacksonville will limit the Bucs but their “big play” potential on DEF is lousy, but with MJD returning kicks and punts yardage a plenty.
ADV: Narrowly the JAX unit
Overall: My wide receiver play should be good enough to help me keep this close, my gut is saying a John victory. PISULA
Yellow Jackets (3-4) vs. T-Rex Grossman (2-5) – A win for T-Rexz Grossman puts Vito right into the hunt this week, can he do it?
QB: Jay Culter vs. Brett Favre. Both guys play on Monday Night going head to head, should be a good matchup. The Green Bay DEF for Cutler has been eh as of late, however Charles Woodson has been playing at a Hall of Fame right, he’ll be covering rookie Brandon “Why Don’t We Get Drunk and Drive” Marshall. So don’t think a total domiant day from the Denver pass game. For Cutler I like in the 200 to 300 yardage mark with probably two tds, and a pick or two as well. Favre is going up against two very good corners Dre’ Bly and Champ Bailey. I’ll give Brett about 250-350 and two tds though, watch for picks. I like the Cut One here.
ADV: Cutler.
WR: Stallworth/Ward vs. Moss/Welker. Hines Ward did look pretty good the other night and he is facing the Bengals, he’ll catch a TD pass, but I still like Holmes more then him, just call it a gut feeling. Dante Stallworth here really hurts Vito I think. Your hoping for a pass happy Pats game but that also benefits the opponent. One of those situations I guess. This week I don’t think he’ll catch a TD because the Skins DEF is pretty good, he’ll have 5 passes for upwards of 80 yards though. That’s only 9 points. Randy Moss has 4 mutiple TD games this year, a fry cry from last year is it not. He will score again this week. Just one TD though, probably over 100 yards. Wes Welker…has come on awfully strong, he’ll catch a TD as well and have similar numbers to Stallworth. I’m picking the Two Pats over the one Pat.
ADV: Moss/Welker.
RB: Addai and Green vs. Westbrook and Washington. You know Joesph Addai will get carries, however Kenton Keith will be stealing some here and there. I like Addai’s chances of getting a touchdown this week, Carolina’s front line is still solid though. Green is terrible. He hasn’t been good all year. The best thing going on in the run game of the Texans was RON DAYNE as few weeks ago and that’s saying something. There are better running backs as free agents, Green is not playable. Brian Westbrook probably won’t score against the touch Vikings run DEF but he could make some good plays in the passing game this week, which is where I like him. Leon Washington he hasn’t seen much action recently so I think he’s a wash. This really comes down to Addai vs. Westbrook, I’m going with Vito here.
ADV: Addai and Green.
TE: Battle of the Clarks. Desmond vs. Dallas. Desmond Clark catches passes but with Greg Olsen the first round pick being put into the offense more and more, one can only wonder what that means for Dezzie. Dallas Clark is a huge part of the Colts offense now a day. When Stokley left everyone thought that the rookie Anthony Gonzalez was going to take his place but it was really Dallas Clark. Clark will grab the TD this week. Desmond wont.
ADV: Dallas Clark
W/R: Braylon Edwards vs. Marvin Harrison. What a matchup. How does 8 passes for over a 100 yards and TD sound, those are some old school Harrison numbers, but this week that’s what I like for B. Ed. Harrison looked limited against the Steelers, but this week an easier matchup. I don’t like him for a touchdown though, and I like him for around 5 passes for 90 yards.
ADV: B. Ed
K: Stephen Gostowksi vs. David Akers. Gostowski will kick a ton of XP points, so that’s like 6 points right there, which isn’t bad. I don’t know that I like Akers all that much with the McNabb lead offense this week. I’m nodding on SG.
ADV: Gostowksi.
DEF: NYG vs. NE. This is a simple a no brainer match up or is it? The Giants have been playing great ball and have score a DEF TD in 3 of their last 4 games, this week they get the Dolphins. Total domination is a given. The Patriots face a Redskins DEF that doesn’t like to pass and has a young QB, total domination is a given. Because they are the Patriots I’m picking them.
ADV: NE
OVERALL: The play of Jay Cutler will be better then Favre on Monday Night, I think, and because of that I’m giving Vito the slight edge.
Vick’s My Dogcatcher (5-2) vs. Vicksmart (1-6) – This is a team ALMOST in first place vs. last place. A loss here for Justin means he can throw in the towel almost. If McLeish wins will keep him toe and toe with Pisula.
QB: Carson Palmer vs. Eli Manning. Carson Palmer I think will be playing from behind and therefore be throwing all day, especially against a tough Steelers run DEF. He’ll post very good numbers this week 300 yds, 3 TDs, 1-2 picks. Probably two of those TDs go to TJ Housh and about 100 of those yards as well. Eli Manning is playing the Dolphins, who have the worst rush DEF in the league, so the Giants will be running a little more to try to wear down the def, and with a three headed monster in their backfield of Droughns, Ward and Jacobs why wouldn’t they. The Dolphins also give up over 2 Pass TDs a game, so Manning should be right around that 2 number, and about 230 in yardage.
ADV: Palmer, he’ll be throwing more then Eli. The Bengals probably won’t lead in this game.
WR: Coles/Holt vs. Williams/Curtis. Coming off his best week of the season thus far Coles looks like a solid option this week against the Bills who have a subpar pass DEF. Derrick Mason posted a good day against them last week, sp expect comparable numbers (about 80 plus yards and a TD). Torry “Big Game” Holt, he should have an okay game against that Browns unit, especially with Steven Jackson back in the mix. I don’t think a TD is an unrealistic goal here. Roy Williams has had some disappointing weeks but guess what he’ll rebound this week. In what proves to be a passing battle between Kitna and Griese Williams will succed, a touchdown for him as well. Kevin Curtis has established himself as McNabb’s #1 target, but McNabb looks ugly as anything. One thing is for sure, he’ll get his chances this week as McNabb will pass to keep away from the Vikings RUN def.
ADV: I like Coles and Holt a little more.
RB: LenDale White and LT vs. Cinton Portis and Kenny Watson. No matter who faces LT he is a must start, and since it’s the Texans this week I’m predicting another monster game from him. Not the four-touchdown effort but I could see two or three. They might actually sit him towards the end of the game if they get into junk time. LenDale White has been pretty good as of late too, which is weird after the display Chris Brown displayed in the first week. The only thing to look for against White is the Chris Henry show. If White gets the carries he’ll be over 100 yards probably. Clinton Portis has been a tremendous bright spot for the Skins this year, showing that he hasn’t lost a step. This week he gets the Patriots so watch out. I’ve seen low predictions but I think he’ll do okay. If he gets involved in the passing game could be a big play threat this week. I’m saying between 60 and 70 yards, possibly a TD, don’t hold your breath though. I don’t think Kenny Watson will do well against the Steelers run DEF sorry.
ADV: White/LT
TE: Gates/Shockey. Good matchup just based on their names. Gates is the better option as Phillip Rivers looks for him on almost every pass attempt but that doesn’t mean he’ll out perform Shockey. Shockey will have a good day catching a TD and be on Gates heels all day.
ADV: Gates by a slight margin.
W/R: Cotchery vs. Graham. This one is kind of tough to call here. I think Graham will have the better day, especially in our system. They got him involved in the passing game and he put up good numbers, tying the franchise record I believe. Cotchery did have his best game this season against Buffalo, but I’m going Ernie.
ADV: Graham.
K: Adam Vinatieri vs. Robbie Gould. Adam V. will kick an awful lot of XPs but I like Gould to kick more field goals.
ADV: Gould.
DEF: San Diego vs. Chicago. I think it’s obvious I picked Chicago here for one reason..say it with DEVIN HESTER.
ADV: Chi Town
Overall: McLeish wins a scrappy fight
Inches vs. Aids
QB: Tom Brady vs. Jeff Garcia. Let’s face it anytime you write Tom Brady he’s better then whatever comes after him or before him, 99.9% of the time. He’ll throw for 300 yards and 3 TDs. I like Welker with 2 and Moss with 1. Garcia will throw for 250 and a long TD to Galloway this week. Brady is the hands down favorite here.
ADV: Brady
WR: Chad Johnson/Joey Galloway vs. Reggie Wayne and Steve Smith. Chad Johnson has been the source of a lot of drama these past few weeks. How is he going to respond? By getting double covered and not finding the end zone (just my opinon), double covering him leaves Housh open, explains the better year for TJ. Johnson will have 7 catches for 80 yards and POSSIBLY a score. Joey Galloway as I said will have a 70 yard TD from Jeff Garcia, or something like it. Expect good numbers I’d say 5 catches for about 100 yards and TD. Reggie Wayne is the real deal, he’ll go over 100 yards and score against Carolina. Steve Smith will catch a TD but the yards aren’t going to be there. This one is tough, but I like Wayne and Smith.
ADV: Wayne/Smith
RB: Gore/Jacobs vs. Bush/Parker. Gore has been insignificant this year in fantasy football, the defenses he’s been facing just stack the box and force Alex Smith/Trent Dilfer to beat them deep which doesn’t happen. He’ll have a very blah day vs. NO. Brandon Jacobs will destroy the Miami DEF to the tune of a 100 plus yards and a TD. I’d be higher on him if Droughns and Ward weren’t stealing carries away. Reggie Bush has finally found himself, he’ll continue to produce in the passing game where he can do the most damage, which is what you like to see in a PPR league. Willie Parker cannot seem to find the endzone or set up a groove in the passing game. He’s good for yards though. If he scores he’s money and he doesn’t even know it. I’m going to go with Bush/Parker.
ADV: Bush/Parker.
TE: Winslow vs. Olsen. I like Kellen Winslow more here because Greg Olsen splits time with Desmond Clark. Kellen Winslow is one of the main targets for Derek Anderson meaning that he’ll get more looks, catches and TDs. That goes for this week and this year.
ADV: Winslow
W/R: LaMont Jordan has been hurt and has to come back to face one of the toughest run DEFs in the league whereas Devin Hester plays for a few plays and returns kicks. This is almost a push but Hester’s big play ability on the field gives him the slight nod here. His numbers aren’t going to be much to write home about, you can thank David Akers for that.
ADV: Hester
K: Kris Brown going against the San Diego Chargers or Elam against the Packers. I like how Denver is moving the ball as of late, so I like Elam. Let’s no forget they win games on the strength of his leg and Kris Brown is probable this week.
ADV: Elam
DEF: Detroit’s DEF vs. Pittsburgh DEF. The Pitt DEF faces a Bengals team that is just weak this year up front. Carson Palmer will be sacked and picked off this week. Detriot could let up a bunch of points, I don’t like them this week.
ADV: Pitts.
OVERALL: I like Inches to win this week.
Nazahoes (4-3) vs. Nazabitches (5-2) – This is a big game…if I win I tie with John, if I lose I could start a slippery slope here. So let’s get it on.
QB: Brian Griese vs. Peyton Manning. Let’s be honest here Peyton Manning is the measuring stick of QBs in recent years, this year it’s Tom Brady. Either way Manning will tear up a Carolina DEF that has lost multiple steps in it’s aging. 300 yards and 3 tosses is probably a good range to start. Brian Griese is keeping the Bears fantasy worthy single handiledly I didn’t think that was possible but it is. He’ll go for 275 yards and two tosses. I think Manning gets the bump.
ADV: Manning
WRs: Santonio Holmes/Kevin Walter vs. Burress and Housh. Housh will have a good day, he’s keeping the Bengals in games. He’ll grab two TDs. Plaxico will catch a touch down but I don’t think the yardage is going to be there this week. The Giants are going to run down the Miam DEF. Holmes will catch a TD probably too but I don’t think the yardage will be there again. Playing the Bengals he could have a big day, good upside here. Kevin Walter is making the most out of the looks he’s getting, he is getting compared to Mike Furrey from last year, if you remember him. He’ll hall in a touchdown and the yards will be there. This is just about a push, but I tip the scales to John for the day Housh will have. If Denver can do it…
ADV: Burress and Housh.
RBs: Marshawn Lynch/Kevin Jones vs. MJD/Henry. Believer it or not a lot of people are high on Kevin Jones against the Bears this week and given the performance of Westbrook and Peterson against them, I can see where it’s coming from. Marshawn Lynch is playing against the Jets who let Kenny Watson score three TDs on them last week. Both of these guys have good matchups and can def. take over this week. MJD’s knee got hurt in that Monday Night game, on the short week he already missed Wed’s practice and was limited on Thrusday. Keep an eye on his status, against Tampa he’s a good option. Travis Henry’s ribs are the issue this week. And he missed practice on Thrusday, if he plays hs faces a terrible Green Bay DEF but guess what…he might be a game time decision. Can you really wait till Monday Night to see what’s going on? I don’t know. I’m taking the two healthy running backs here.
ADV: Jones and Lynch.
TE: Chris Cooley vs. Owen Daniels. Chris Cooley has 4 of the 5 receiving TDs in Wash this year. I’ll take that percentage from any tight end in the league. Against the Pats the Skins will be throwing a lot as well. Cooley has a good chance to do well. Owen Daniels as well will play from behind, watch where this game is being played, could have a little impact. However the Linebacking Corp has been pretty solid for the Chargers. I like Cooley’s chances of getting a TD I’m picking him.
ADV: Cooley.
W/R: Peterson vs. Davis. Adrian Peterson is the real deal, a top three fantasy back for a rookie…amazing. Andre Davis good fill in for Ande Johnson. Andrew Davis won’t do half bad but I really do like Kevin Walter better. A lot of people are talking about that Adrian won’t be able to get some yards this week but you know what I think if he can pull it off against the Cowboys he can do it against the Eagles. I’m pick Peterson.
ADV: A. Pete.
K: The Battle of the Jeffs. Reed vs. Wilkins. The Rams offense has been super dismal this year, although with Sjax back that could change. Against the Browns Wilkins should get some chances. However Jeff Reed will see a full plate of work. Field goals as the Steelers offense will stall a bit and then XPs when they succeed.
ADV: Jeff Reed
DEF: Vikings vs. Jacksonville. The Vikings looked good against the Cowboys, a better team then the Eagles, and you can expect that Brad Childress will want to look good against the Eagles. Jacksonville will limit the Bucs but their “big play” potential on DEF is lousy, but with MJD returning kicks and punts yardage a plenty.
ADV: Narrowly the JAX unit
Overall: My wide receiver play should be good enough to help me keep this close, my gut is saying a John victory. PISULA
Yellow Jackets (3-4) vs. T-Rex Grossman (2-5) – A win for T-Rexz Grossman puts Vito right into the hunt this week, can he do it?
QB: Jay Culter vs. Brett Favre. Both guys play on Monday Night going head to head, should be a good matchup. The Green Bay DEF for Cutler has been eh as of late, however Charles Woodson has been playing at a Hall of Fame right, he’ll be covering rookie Brandon “Why Don’t We Get Drunk and Drive” Marshall. So don’t think a total domiant day from the Denver pass game. For Cutler I like in the 200 to 300 yardage mark with probably two tds, and a pick or two as well. Favre is going up against two very good corners Dre’ Bly and Champ Bailey. I’ll give Brett about 250-350 and two tds though, watch for picks. I like the Cut One here.
ADV: Cutler.
WR: Stallworth/Ward vs. Moss/Welker. Hines Ward did look pretty good the other night and he is facing the Bengals, he’ll catch a TD pass, but I still like Holmes more then him, just call it a gut feeling. Dante Stallworth here really hurts Vito I think. Your hoping for a pass happy Pats game but that also benefits the opponent. One of those situations I guess. This week I don’t think he’ll catch a TD because the Skins DEF is pretty good, he’ll have 5 passes for upwards of 80 yards though. That’s only 9 points. Randy Moss has 4 mutiple TD games this year, a fry cry from last year is it not. He will score again this week. Just one TD though, probably over 100 yards. Wes Welker…has come on awfully strong, he’ll catch a TD as well and have similar numbers to Stallworth. I’m picking the Two Pats over the one Pat.
ADV: Moss/Welker.
RB: Addai and Green vs. Westbrook and Washington. You know Joesph Addai will get carries, however Kenton Keith will be stealing some here and there. I like Addai’s chances of getting a touchdown this week, Carolina’s front line is still solid though. Green is terrible. He hasn’t been good all year. The best thing going on in the run game of the Texans was RON DAYNE as few weeks ago and that’s saying something. There are better running backs as free agents, Green is not playable. Brian Westbrook probably won’t score against the touch Vikings run DEF but he could make some good plays in the passing game this week, which is where I like him. Leon Washington he hasn’t seen much action recently so I think he’s a wash. This really comes down to Addai vs. Westbrook, I’m going with Vito here.
ADV: Addai and Green.
TE: Battle of the Clarks. Desmond vs. Dallas. Desmond Clark catches passes but with Greg Olsen the first round pick being put into the offense more and more, one can only wonder what that means for Dezzie. Dallas Clark is a huge part of the Colts offense now a day. When Stokley left everyone thought that the rookie Anthony Gonzalez was going to take his place but it was really Dallas Clark. Clark will grab the TD this week. Desmond wont.
ADV: Dallas Clark
W/R: Braylon Edwards vs. Marvin Harrison. What a matchup. How does 8 passes for over a 100 yards and TD sound, those are some old school Harrison numbers, but this week that’s what I like for B. Ed. Harrison looked limited against the Steelers, but this week an easier matchup. I don’t like him for a touchdown though, and I like him for around 5 passes for 90 yards.
ADV: B. Ed
K: Stephen Gostowksi vs. David Akers. Gostowski will kick a ton of XP points, so that’s like 6 points right there, which isn’t bad. I don’t know that I like Akers all that much with the McNabb lead offense this week. I’m nodding on SG.
ADV: Gostowksi.
DEF: NYG vs. NE. This is a simple a no brainer match up or is it? The Giants have been playing great ball and have score a DEF TD in 3 of their last 4 games, this week they get the Dolphins. Total domination is a given. The Patriots face a Redskins DEF that doesn’t like to pass and has a young QB, total domination is a given. Because they are the Patriots I’m picking them.
ADV: NE
OVERALL: The play of Jay Cutler will be better then Favre on Monday Night, I think, and because of that I’m giving Vito the slight edge.
Vick’s My Dogcatcher (5-2) vs. Vicksmart (1-6) – This is a team ALMOST in first place vs. last place. A loss here for Justin means he can throw in the towel almost. If McLeish wins will keep him toe and toe with Pisula.
QB: Carson Palmer vs. Eli Manning. Carson Palmer I think will be playing from behind and therefore be throwing all day, especially against a tough Steelers run DEF. He’ll post very good numbers this week 300 yds, 3 TDs, 1-2 picks. Probably two of those TDs go to TJ Housh and about 100 of those yards as well. Eli Manning is playing the Dolphins, who have the worst rush DEF in the league, so the Giants will be running a little more to try to wear down the def, and with a three headed monster in their backfield of Droughns, Ward and Jacobs why wouldn’t they. The Dolphins also give up over 2 Pass TDs a game, so Manning should be right around that 2 number, and about 230 in yardage.
ADV: Palmer, he’ll be throwing more then Eli. The Bengals probably won’t lead in this game.
WR: Coles/Holt vs. Williams/Curtis. Coming off his best week of the season thus far Coles looks like a solid option this week against the Bills who have a subpar pass DEF. Derrick Mason posted a good day against them last week, sp expect comparable numbers (about 80 plus yards and a TD). Torry “Big Game” Holt, he should have an okay game against that Browns unit, especially with Steven Jackson back in the mix. I don’t think a TD is an unrealistic goal here. Roy Williams has had some disappointing weeks but guess what he’ll rebound this week. In what proves to be a passing battle between Kitna and Griese Williams will succed, a touchdown for him as well. Kevin Curtis has established himself as McNabb’s #1 target, but McNabb looks ugly as anything. One thing is for sure, he’ll get his chances this week as McNabb will pass to keep away from the Vikings RUN def.
ADV: I like Coles and Holt a little more.
RB: LenDale White and LT vs. Cinton Portis and Kenny Watson. No matter who faces LT he is a must start, and since it’s the Texans this week I’m predicting another monster game from him. Not the four-touchdown effort but I could see two or three. They might actually sit him towards the end of the game if they get into junk time. LenDale White has been pretty good as of late too, which is weird after the display Chris Brown displayed in the first week. The only thing to look for against White is the Chris Henry show. If White gets the carries he’ll be over 100 yards probably. Clinton Portis has been a tremendous bright spot for the Skins this year, showing that he hasn’t lost a step. This week he gets the Patriots so watch out. I’ve seen low predictions but I think he’ll do okay. If he gets involved in the passing game could be a big play threat this week. I’m saying between 60 and 70 yards, possibly a TD, don’t hold your breath though. I don’t think Kenny Watson will do well against the Steelers run DEF sorry.
ADV: White/LT
TE: Gates/Shockey. Good matchup just based on their names. Gates is the better option as Phillip Rivers looks for him on almost every pass attempt but that doesn’t mean he’ll out perform Shockey. Shockey will have a good day catching a TD and be on Gates heels all day.
ADV: Gates by a slight margin.
W/R: Cotchery vs. Graham. This one is kind of tough to call here. I think Graham will have the better day, especially in our system. They got him involved in the passing game and he put up good numbers, tying the franchise record I believe. Cotchery did have his best game this season against Buffalo, but I’m going Ernie.
ADV: Graham.
K: Adam Vinatieri vs. Robbie Gould. Adam V. will kick an awful lot of XPs but I like Gould to kick more field goals.
ADV: Gould.
DEF: San Diego vs. Chicago. I think it’s obvious I picked Chicago here for one reason..say it with DEVIN HESTER.
ADV: Chi Town
Overall: McLeish wins a scrappy fight
Inches vs. Aids
QB: Tom Brady vs. Jeff Garcia. Let’s face it anytime you write Tom Brady he’s better then whatever comes after him or before him, 99.9% of the time. He’ll throw for 300 yards and 3 TDs. I like Welker with 2 and Moss with 1. Garcia will throw for 250 and a long TD to Galloway this week. Brady is the hands down favorite here.
ADV: Brady
WR: Chad Johnson/Joey Galloway vs. Reggie Wayne and Steve Smith. Chad Johnson has been the source of a lot of drama these past few weeks. How is he going to respond? By getting double covered and not finding the end zone (just my opinon), double covering him leaves Housh open, explains the better year for TJ. Johnson will have 7 catches for 80 yards and POSSIBLY a score. Joey Galloway as I said will have a 70 yard TD from Jeff Garcia, or something like it. Expect good numbers I’d say 5 catches for about 100 yards and TD. Reggie Wayne is the real deal, he’ll go over 100 yards and score against Carolina. Steve Smith will catch a TD but the yards aren’t going to be there. This one is tough, but I like Wayne and Smith.
ADV: Wayne/Smith
RB: Gore/Jacobs vs. Bush/Parker. Gore has been insignificant this year in fantasy football, the defenses he’s been facing just stack the box and force Alex Smith/Trent Dilfer to beat them deep which doesn’t happen. He’ll have a very blah day vs. NO. Brandon Jacobs will destroy the Miami DEF to the tune of a 100 plus yards and a TD. I’d be higher on him if Droughns and Ward weren’t stealing carries away. Reggie Bush has finally found himself, he’ll continue to produce in the passing game where he can do the most damage, which is what you like to see in a PPR league. Willie Parker cannot seem to find the endzone or set up a groove in the passing game. He’s good for yards though. If he scores he’s money and he doesn’t even know it. I’m going to go with Bush/Parker.
ADV: Bush/Parker.
TE: Winslow vs. Olsen. I like Kellen Winslow more here because Greg Olsen splits time with Desmond Clark. Kellen Winslow is one of the main targets for Derek Anderson meaning that he’ll get more looks, catches and TDs. That goes for this week and this year.
ADV: Winslow
W/R: LaMont Jordan has been hurt and has to come back to face one of the toughest run DEFs in the league whereas Devin Hester plays for a few plays and returns kicks. This is almost a push but Hester’s big play ability on the field gives him the slight nod here. His numbers aren’t going to be much to write home about, you can thank David Akers for that.
ADV: Hester
K: Kris Brown going against the San Diego Chargers or Elam against the Packers. I like how Denver is moving the ball as of late, so I like Elam. Let’s no forget they win games on the strength of his leg and Kris Brown is probable this week.
ADV: Elam
DEF: Detroit’s DEF vs. Pittsburgh DEF. The Pitt DEF faces a Bengals team that is just weak this year up front. Carson Palmer will be sacked and picked off this week. Detriot could let up a bunch of points, I don’t like them this week.
ADV: Pitts.
OVERALL: I like Inches to win this week.
posted by Jason M. at 6:02 PM
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Sunday, October 14, 2007
Week Six Bitches
Okay let’s just jump into this, I don’t got time to write some clever intro shit. Michael Pittman broke his foot, Ronnie Brown ran all over the place, Romo turned it over six times. That’s it.
Nazahoes (3-2) vs. Yellow Jackets (2-3)
QB: Romo and Favre. I like Favre simply because he isn’t playing against the New England DEF and because he’s looking like he’s a young gunner. Plus the Skins can get beat deep her and there, hell if the Lions had any time in the pocket they could have do it. Favre will had mild success probably around a touch or two and the yards to go with it. Romo if going to have an okay day, but I can’t give him the nod after that terrible day in Buffalo.
ADVANTAGE: Brett Favre.
WR: Dwayne Bowe/Derrick Mason vs. Randy Moss/Donald Driver. Dwayne Bowe didn’t have a touch last week but he did catch 4 balls for about 80 yards and Mason was productive again, although I didn’t start him because I heard he was hurt. This week their matchups are very weak. Bowe faces the Cinnci DEF, that let up five passing TDs to the Browns (still haven’t lived that down) and Mason faces a St. Louis Ram’s DEF that is broken down and bastardized. Randy Moss will have a big day against the Dallas DEF especially with their top corner back. Donald Driver will have an okay day against the Redskins, but guess what Greg Jennings will benefit the most. But that’s neither here nor there.
ADVANTAGE: Bowe/Mason
RB: Willis McGahee/Adrian Peterson vs. Brian Westbrook/Sammy Morris. McGahee is having a good season if he can just score a TD here and there, but that’s what’s going to happen this week. I’m expecting a few catches and a TD. Adrian Peterson has a tough match up but guess what he’s a must start every week. He’s a sparkplug and could have a semi decent day against a banged up Bears DEF. Westbrook is going to own the Jets DEF that’s just a fact but the weak clog is Morris I think. Dallas has clamped down against the run pretty good, and he’s in a timeshare with Maroney (if he plays).
ADVANTAGE: McGahee/Peterson.
TE: Chris Cooley vs. Benjamin Watson. Ben Watson is going to tear up the Dallas DEF as they strive to cover Stallworth, Moss and Welker. He’s going to reap the benefits of all of that. Chris Cooley will probably score but Watson will triumph in this matchup.
ADVANTAGE: Big Ben Watson.
W/R” Torry Holt vs. Wes Welker. Torry Holt is slumping this year and with Ferotte as QB we might be in for ugly things. In a PPR league though he’s triumphing, he’s doing very good. And here’s a stat for you: The Ravens are giving up the second most 40+ yard passing plays in the league. First is the Saints. Wes Welker is fooling around with the Pats, and that’s great but his numbers have been spastic up here, down there. I think this is a down week.
ADVANTAGE: Torry “Big Game” Holt.
K: Shayne Graham vs. Mason Crosby. Graham has the foot and he is facing the Kanas City DEF in a game that should be a nice little shootout. Crosby will have an okay day but I think Graham will be better.
ADVANTAGE: Graham.
DEF: Minnesota vs. New England. This is a push. Both DEFs are very good. The Vikings are playing well and the Bears are playing not well. New England is playing all start DEF and Romo just had a 6 game turnover.
ADVANTAGE: PUSH
OVERALL: I win a game that’s about 115 to 105 or so.
VMD (3-2) vs. Inches (4-1)
QB: Carson Palmer vs. McNabb. Let’s be honest McNabb’s passing game hasn’t been on at all this season, save one game. Doesn’t merit him a start, even against the Jets to be honest. Carson Palmer will have a good game, he’ll throw here there and everywhere. Except a good day out of him.
ADVANTAGE: Palmer.
WR: Chris Chambers/Laveranues Coles vs. Steve Smith/Vincent Jackson. Chris Chambers hasn’t caught a TD in 13 games, and isn’t really doing that well. No reason to start him, I’m thinking. Coles is doing okay though. Chambers does face the Browns but guess what, he won’t do that well, he hasn’t shown life all year. Coles faces that Philly DEF that can bend and break, he might have a TD this week. Steve Smith with Vinny Test (the oldest man alive) might not be a safe bet. If Carr starts Smith will get more opportunities. Vincent Jackson is good to go this week, but he’s going against the Oakland DEF. Look for him to put up decent numbers. I’m going with Smith/Jackson.
ADVANTAGE: Steve Smith/Vincent Jackson.
RB: LT/Marion Barber III vs. Reggie Bush/Derrick Ward. Okay LT is going against the Oakland run DEF and they have been semi respectable but in a game where San Diego will be up, you can expect a heavy does from the MVP. Marion Barber III is going against the New England DEF and guess what, he’s not going to do well. The Patriots are just that good. Reggie Bush against Seattle will probably have 14 points or so, because he’ll catch nine dink and dump passes. Derrick Ward is questionable; even if he does lay Brandon Jacobs is back and will get most of the work. I’m going with LT/Barber III.
ADVANTAGE: LT/Marion Barber III.
TE: Gates vs. Gonzo. Gates had a big game last week, and he’ll probably have a decent game. Gonzo will have a very good game. They used him very well last week and set up the longer pass with his intermediate routes. He’ll have the bigger game here, especially against the CIN DEF, they did let up five TDs to the Bengals.
ADVANTAGE: Gonzo.
W/R: Jericho Cotchery vs. Thomas Jones. Both of these guys go against the PHILLY DEF, and that DEF has been better against the run then the pass and given TJ’s slumps, I’m going with Cotchery.
ADVANTAGE: Cotchery.
K: Phil Dawson against Miami vs. Josh Brown against NO. I’m going with Dawson against that beat down Miami DEF. Expect good numbers.
ADVANTAGE: Phil Dawson.
DEF: San Diego vs. Houston. Okay the SD will have a better day against the Oakland DEF, rather then the Jacksonville Offense against the Houston DEF.
ADVANTAGE: SD
OVERALL: McLeish wins a barnburner.
Nazabitches (4-1) vs. Vicksmart (1-4)
QB: Brian Griese vs. Kurt Warner. Are you really staring Brian Griese, guy hasn’t been good since he was in Denver. There are rules to fantasy football and one of NEW one’s is as follows: if there is Chi – position under someone’s name don’t start them. Kurt Warner has looked good and he faces the Carolina DEF and I haven’t seen much from them.
ADVANTAGE: Warner.
WR: Burress/TJ vs. TO/Curtis. Burress will play because he does this all the time. He’s been doing good and going against the ATL DEF, expect another semi big day. TJ is going against the Kansas City DEF so he’ll be fine too. TO has been quiet in the past two games so I’m expecting a third one, and Curtis failed to show up expect for the Detroit Lions game. Going with Burress/TJ.
ADVANTAGE: Burress/TJ.
RB: Ronnie Brown/MJD vs. Clinton Portis/Rudi Johnson. Ronnie Brown is said to be probable nursing an inury but should be fine. MJD will have a good game against the Texans, especially if Taylor is out. Portis will have a meh day. Rudi Johnson will do well against the KC DEF. I’m going with Brown/MJD.
ADVANTAGE: Brown/MJD
TE: Heap vs. Shockey. Heap is probable and Boller might play. Boller goes deeper then McNair (that’s what she said). So that hurts Heap a little bit. Shockey will play against the ATL def that sucks, so I’m giving him the nod.
ADVANTAGE: Shockey.
W/R: Marques Colston vs. Earnest Graham, this is the battle of the Special Olympics. I give the nod here to Graham, because Colston has a bad back.
ADVANTAGE: Graham.
K: Wilkins vs. Rackers. I’m going with Rackers, Baltimore’s DEF will look to wear down the STL offense.
ADVANTAGE: Rackers.
DEF: Baltimore vs. Chi Town. Baltimore is going to have the better day because Saint Louis is slumping big time. Chi Town faces MINN and they have a decent play maker in Adrian Peterson.
ADVANTAGE: Baltimore.
OVERALL: Pisula will roll in this one, although Justin beating Nazabitches would be funny.
T-RexGrossman (1-4) vs. AIDS (2-3)
QB: Vince Young vs. Tom Brady. A no brainer in this regard, Tom Brady will throw about three TD passes and have some rushing yards. Vince Young will do so, so but at this point no one is better then V. Young.
ADVANTAGE: Tom Brady.
WR: Braylon Edwards/Donte’ Stallworth vs. Fitz/CJ. Edwards has been having big days and I think that continues against the Miami DEF. Stallworth has a knee injury but will play, I don’t expect a big day from him. Larry Fitz des better with Warner in the lineup so expect another big game from him. A touchdown and 100 yards. Chad Johnson will also have a decent day, I do think they are projecting him too high.
ADVANTAGE: Fitz/CJ
RB: Alexander/Green vs. Jacobs/James. Alexander is probably and going against the NO def and they are piss poor. Green will have troubles against JAX (they are only allowing about 75 yards on the ground). Jacobs will have a solid workload ahead of him in ATL on Monday Night. James will have an okay day with Carolina’s DEF since they will try to take the pressure off Warner. I’m going with the J and J connection.
ADVANTAGE: J & J.
TE: Clark vs. Winslow. Okay what did I say about any Chi Town players? Don’t start them. Clark will have a dismal day as the MINN LBs are tough. Winslow will have a good day, per usual. Gets the nod.
ADVANTAGE: Winslow.
W/R: Greg Jennings vs. Joey Galloway. I like Jennings’ connection with Favre. Joey Galloway will be going against TENN’s DEF and they are tough. Jennings will have the better day.
ADVANTAGE: Jennings.
K: Brown vs. Stover. Stover had at least three FGs in his past three games. You like those numbers if you have him.
ADVANTAGE: Stover.
DEF: NYG vs. ATL, Seattle against NO. NYG.
ADVANTAGE: NYG
Overall: T-REX can’t beat the AIDS.
Nazahoes (3-2) vs. Yellow Jackets (2-3)
QB: Romo and Favre. I like Favre simply because he isn’t playing against the New England DEF and because he’s looking like he’s a young gunner. Plus the Skins can get beat deep her and there, hell if the Lions had any time in the pocket they could have do it. Favre will had mild success probably around a touch or two and the yards to go with it. Romo if going to have an okay day, but I can’t give him the nod after that terrible day in Buffalo.
ADVANTAGE: Brett Favre.
WR: Dwayne Bowe/Derrick Mason vs. Randy Moss/Donald Driver. Dwayne Bowe didn’t have a touch last week but he did catch 4 balls for about 80 yards and Mason was productive again, although I didn’t start him because I heard he was hurt. This week their matchups are very weak. Bowe faces the Cinnci DEF, that let up five passing TDs to the Browns (still haven’t lived that down) and Mason faces a St. Louis Ram’s DEF that is broken down and bastardized. Randy Moss will have a big day against the Dallas DEF especially with their top corner back. Donald Driver will have an okay day against the Redskins, but guess what Greg Jennings will benefit the most. But that’s neither here nor there.
ADVANTAGE: Bowe/Mason
RB: Willis McGahee/Adrian Peterson vs. Brian Westbrook/Sammy Morris. McGahee is having a good season if he can just score a TD here and there, but that’s what’s going to happen this week. I’m expecting a few catches and a TD. Adrian Peterson has a tough match up but guess what he’s a must start every week. He’s a sparkplug and could have a semi decent day against a banged up Bears DEF. Westbrook is going to own the Jets DEF that’s just a fact but the weak clog is Morris I think. Dallas has clamped down against the run pretty good, and he’s in a timeshare with Maroney (if he plays).
ADVANTAGE: McGahee/Peterson.
TE: Chris Cooley vs. Benjamin Watson. Ben Watson is going to tear up the Dallas DEF as they strive to cover Stallworth, Moss and Welker. He’s going to reap the benefits of all of that. Chris Cooley will probably score but Watson will triumph in this matchup.
ADVANTAGE: Big Ben Watson.
W/R” Torry Holt vs. Wes Welker. Torry Holt is slumping this year and with Ferotte as QB we might be in for ugly things. In a PPR league though he’s triumphing, he’s doing very good. And here’s a stat for you: The Ravens are giving up the second most 40+ yard passing plays in the league. First is the Saints. Wes Welker is fooling around with the Pats, and that’s great but his numbers have been spastic up here, down there. I think this is a down week.
ADVANTAGE: Torry “Big Game” Holt.
K: Shayne Graham vs. Mason Crosby. Graham has the foot and he is facing the Kanas City DEF in a game that should be a nice little shootout. Crosby will have an okay day but I think Graham will be better.
ADVANTAGE: Graham.
DEF: Minnesota vs. New England. This is a push. Both DEFs are very good. The Vikings are playing well and the Bears are playing not well. New England is playing all start DEF and Romo just had a 6 game turnover.
ADVANTAGE: PUSH
OVERALL: I win a game that’s about 115 to 105 or so.
VMD (3-2) vs. Inches (4-1)
QB: Carson Palmer vs. McNabb. Let’s be honest McNabb’s passing game hasn’t been on at all this season, save one game. Doesn’t merit him a start, even against the Jets to be honest. Carson Palmer will have a good game, he’ll throw here there and everywhere. Except a good day out of him.
ADVANTAGE: Palmer.
WR: Chris Chambers/Laveranues Coles vs. Steve Smith/Vincent Jackson. Chris Chambers hasn’t caught a TD in 13 games, and isn’t really doing that well. No reason to start him, I’m thinking. Coles is doing okay though. Chambers does face the Browns but guess what, he won’t do that well, he hasn’t shown life all year. Coles faces that Philly DEF that can bend and break, he might have a TD this week. Steve Smith with Vinny Test (the oldest man alive) might not be a safe bet. If Carr starts Smith will get more opportunities. Vincent Jackson is good to go this week, but he’s going against the Oakland DEF. Look for him to put up decent numbers. I’m going with Smith/Jackson.
ADVANTAGE: Steve Smith/Vincent Jackson.
RB: LT/Marion Barber III vs. Reggie Bush/Derrick Ward. Okay LT is going against the Oakland run DEF and they have been semi respectable but in a game where San Diego will be up, you can expect a heavy does from the MVP. Marion Barber III is going against the New England DEF and guess what, he’s not going to do well. The Patriots are just that good. Reggie Bush against Seattle will probably have 14 points or so, because he’ll catch nine dink and dump passes. Derrick Ward is questionable; even if he does lay Brandon Jacobs is back and will get most of the work. I’m going with LT/Barber III.
ADVANTAGE: LT/Marion Barber III.
TE: Gates vs. Gonzo. Gates had a big game last week, and he’ll probably have a decent game. Gonzo will have a very good game. They used him very well last week and set up the longer pass with his intermediate routes. He’ll have the bigger game here, especially against the CIN DEF, they did let up five TDs to the Bengals.
ADVANTAGE: Gonzo.
W/R: Jericho Cotchery vs. Thomas Jones. Both of these guys go against the PHILLY DEF, and that DEF has been better against the run then the pass and given TJ’s slumps, I’m going with Cotchery.
ADVANTAGE: Cotchery.
K: Phil Dawson against Miami vs. Josh Brown against NO. I’m going with Dawson against that beat down Miami DEF. Expect good numbers.
ADVANTAGE: Phil Dawson.
DEF: San Diego vs. Houston. Okay the SD will have a better day against the Oakland DEF, rather then the Jacksonville Offense against the Houston DEF.
ADVANTAGE: SD
OVERALL: McLeish wins a barnburner.
Nazabitches (4-1) vs. Vicksmart (1-4)
QB: Brian Griese vs. Kurt Warner. Are you really staring Brian Griese, guy hasn’t been good since he was in Denver. There are rules to fantasy football and one of NEW one’s is as follows: if there is Chi – position under someone’s name don’t start them. Kurt Warner has looked good and he faces the Carolina DEF and I haven’t seen much from them.
ADVANTAGE: Warner.
WR: Burress/TJ vs. TO/Curtis. Burress will play because he does this all the time. He’s been doing good and going against the ATL DEF, expect another semi big day. TJ is going against the Kansas City DEF so he’ll be fine too. TO has been quiet in the past two games so I’m expecting a third one, and Curtis failed to show up expect for the Detroit Lions game. Going with Burress/TJ.
ADVANTAGE: Burress/TJ.
RB: Ronnie Brown/MJD vs. Clinton Portis/Rudi Johnson. Ronnie Brown is said to be probable nursing an inury but should be fine. MJD will have a good game against the Texans, especially if Taylor is out. Portis will have a meh day. Rudi Johnson will do well against the KC DEF. I’m going with Brown/MJD.
ADVANTAGE: Brown/MJD
TE: Heap vs. Shockey. Heap is probable and Boller might play. Boller goes deeper then McNair (that’s what she said). So that hurts Heap a little bit. Shockey will play against the ATL def that sucks, so I’m giving him the nod.
ADVANTAGE: Shockey.
W/R: Marques Colston vs. Earnest Graham, this is the battle of the Special Olympics. I give the nod here to Graham, because Colston has a bad back.
ADVANTAGE: Graham.
K: Wilkins vs. Rackers. I’m going with Rackers, Baltimore’s DEF will look to wear down the STL offense.
ADVANTAGE: Rackers.
DEF: Baltimore vs. Chi Town. Baltimore is going to have the better day because Saint Louis is slumping big time. Chi Town faces MINN and they have a decent play maker in Adrian Peterson.
ADVANTAGE: Baltimore.
OVERALL: Pisula will roll in this one, although Justin beating Nazabitches would be funny.
T-RexGrossman (1-4) vs. AIDS (2-3)
QB: Vince Young vs. Tom Brady. A no brainer in this regard, Tom Brady will throw about three TD passes and have some rushing yards. Vince Young will do so, so but at this point no one is better then V. Young.
ADVANTAGE: Tom Brady.
WR: Braylon Edwards/Donte’ Stallworth vs. Fitz/CJ. Edwards has been having big days and I think that continues against the Miami DEF. Stallworth has a knee injury but will play, I don’t expect a big day from him. Larry Fitz des better with Warner in the lineup so expect another big game from him. A touchdown and 100 yards. Chad Johnson will also have a decent day, I do think they are projecting him too high.
ADVANTAGE: Fitz/CJ
RB: Alexander/Green vs. Jacobs/James. Alexander is probably and going against the NO def and they are piss poor. Green will have troubles against JAX (they are only allowing about 75 yards on the ground). Jacobs will have a solid workload ahead of him in ATL on Monday Night. James will have an okay day with Carolina’s DEF since they will try to take the pressure off Warner. I’m going with the J and J connection.
ADVANTAGE: J & J.
TE: Clark vs. Winslow. Okay what did I say about any Chi Town players? Don’t start them. Clark will have a dismal day as the MINN LBs are tough. Winslow will have a good day, per usual. Gets the nod.
ADVANTAGE: Winslow.
W/R: Greg Jennings vs. Joey Galloway. I like Jennings’ connection with Favre. Joey Galloway will be going against TENN’s DEF and they are tough. Jennings will have the better day.
ADVANTAGE: Jennings.
K: Brown vs. Stover. Stover had at least three FGs in his past three games. You like those numbers if you have him.
ADVANTAGE: Stover.
DEF: NYG vs. ATL, Seattle against NO. NYG.
ADVANTAGE: NYG
Overall: T-REX can’t beat the AIDS.
posted by Jason M. at 9:06 AM
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About Me
- Name: Jason M.
- Location: Washington DC, United States
I'm Jason Carfagno. I'm a living legend.
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Previous Posts
- Week One Video!
- Fact OR Fiction with Mike and J
- Fact or Fiction: 9.11.2008
- NFL DAY ONE
- First Day of the NFL!!
- 2008 Draft Review: Round 1 to 5
- Week 8
- Week Six Bitches
- Week Four...
- Week Three Review
